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Santa Cruz vs Real Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Meca A.
31' Event
Gimenez Sanchez E.
90' Event
Manzanares D.

AI Match Summary

Real Murcia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Santa Cruz
28%
Draws
50%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Real Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Murcia B lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz.
  • Model gives Real Murcia B a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 19%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Real Murcia B
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 11 17
Draws 5 9
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 0.71 1
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.57 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Real Murcia B
1:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santa Cruz
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzanares D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Meca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gimenez Sanchez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 24 / 100
Real Murcia B 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Real Murcia B

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MUR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Real Murcia B let in goals in 75% of their last 36 matches.

Santa Cruz scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Santa Cruz has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Real Murcia B
0.71 Goals Scored 1
1.57 Goals Conceded 1.75
57% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 38%
14% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Ciudad Cieza342110365:2173
2Real Murcia B34178959:4459
3Molinense34178946:3459
4Club Olimpico de Totana341513644:2758
5Mazarron CF341414650:3356
6UCAM Murcia B341316555:3755
7Aguilas FC B3414101047:4252
8CA Pulpileno3413111030:2950
9Santa Cruz341461435:3748
10Minerva3411111228:3944
11Bala Azul348161039:3640
12FC Cartagena SAD B349111440:3938
13Deportivo Maritimo34991638:4636
14E.G. El Palmar34881827:4832
15Santomera34881838:6432
16Caravaca346131533:4431
17Muleno CF346131533:5831
18Yeclano B34691925:5427