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Santa Cruz vs Real Murcia B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

15' Event
Meca A.
31' Event
Gimenez Sanchez E.
90' Event
Manzanares D.

AI Match Summary

Real Murcia B in this Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Santa Cruz
30%
Draws
8%
Real Murcia B
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Cruz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Real Murcia B lately — more wins on the board than Santa Cruz.
  • Model gives Santa Cruz a 62% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Santa Cruz Clean Sheet 18%
Real Murcia B Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Cruz Real Murcia B
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 10 13
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.42
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Santa Cruz vs Real Murcia B
1:2
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Real Murcia B vs Santa Cruz
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Cruz Compare

Top Goalscorer Manzanares D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Real Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Meca A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gimenez Sanchez E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.21
Avg xA / game 0.74

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Cruz 85 / 100
Real Murcia B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Cruz Real Murcia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Cruz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Real Murcia B let in goals in 73% of their last 33 matches.

Santa Cruz went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Real Murcia B registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Cruz VS Real Murcia B
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1
71% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 38%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Cruz

(Home)
26 Sept
Santa Cruz
1 : 1
Aguilas FC B
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Santa Cruz
2 : 1
Club Olimpico de Totana
06 Sept
San Javier
3 : 2
Santa Cruz
10 May
FC Cartagena SAD B
0 : 1
Santa Cruz
Page 1 of 6

Real Murcia B

(Away)
20 Sept
Real Murcia B
0 : 1
Mallorca B
13 Sept
La Nucia
5 : 1
Real Murcia B
05 Sept
Real Murcia B
1 : 2
Orihuela
22 Aug
Torrellano
1 : 0
Real Murcia B
20 Jun
Pamplona
1 : 1
Real Murcia B
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)