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Stadium Background

Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Tue, Oct 27, 2026
VS
01:05 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe host Bucaramanga in the Primera A. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Santa Fe at 1.62 goals for, 0.82 against; Bucaramanga at 1.57 for, 1.21 against. Head-to-head, Santa Fe have won 1 to Bucaramanga's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Mar 28, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Santa Fe. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santa Fe
20%
Draws
38%
Bucaramanga
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 16%
Bucaramanga Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Bucaramanga
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 19 9
Draws 9 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 1.62 1.57
Goals Conceded 0.82 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe
1:2
Dec 9, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga
0:0
Nov 19, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Primera A
Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe
2:1
Mar 19, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Bucaramanga
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 36 / 100
Bucaramanga 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Bucaramanga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bucaramanga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Bucaramanga's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Bucaramanga
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
22 Oct
Santa Fe
2 : 1
Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 0
Santa Fe
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 7

Bucaramanga

(Away)
18 Oct
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
America De Cali
13 Oct
Bucaramanga
1 : 1
Aguilas Doradas
04 Oct
Bucaramanga
3 : 1
Junior
26 Sept
Once Caldas
1 : 3
Bucaramanga
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 14 9 2 3 28:12 29
2 Dep. Cali 15 8 5 2 23:9 29
3 America De Cali 14 8 4 2 26:10 28
4 Millonarios 16 6 8 2 24:14 26
5 Bucaramanga 13 6 7 0 22:12 25
6 Santa Fe 14 7 4 3 21:14 25
7 Ind. Medellin 14 7 2 5 21:19 23
8 Cucuta 14 6 3 5 17:19 21
9 Once Caldas 15 5 5 5 19:17 20
10 Deportes Tolima 15 5 5 5 18:18 20
11 Aguilas Doradas 14 4 7 3 19:19 19
12 Inter Bogotá 15 3 8 4 18:21 17
13 Llaneros 15 5 2 8 16:20 17
14 Alianza 14 4 3 7 15:26 15
15 Dep. Pereira 14 2 7 5 10:18 13
16 Junior 14 2 6 6 19:23 12
17 Chico 14 3 3 8 11:25 12
18 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 14 1 8 5 15:21 11
19 Jaguares de Cordoba 14 2 4 8 16:28 10
20 Dep. Pasto 14 2 3 9 9:22 9
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)