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Santa Fe vs Chico - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

40'
Bustos N.
46'
Sub
Toscano Bassa K. D. In: Fagundez F.
Out: Toscano Bassa K. D.
46'
Sub
Bustos N. In: Lovera M.
Out: Bustos N.

AI Match Summary

The Primera A game between Santa Fe and Chico finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Santa Fe
20%
Draws
33%
Chico
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Fe come out ahead of Chico on wins alone.
  • Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Chico Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Chico
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 11 6
Losses 4 14
Goals Scored 1.48 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.79 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Chico
2:0
Jan 31, 2026 Primera A
Chico vs Santa Fe
0:1
Oct 18, 2025 Primera A
Chico vs Santa Fe
0:0
Apr 27, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Chico
0:0
Oct 11, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Chico
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Rodallega H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chico Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 50 / 100
Chico 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Chico

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Fe scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Chico conceded in 68% of 28 recent games.

Santa Fe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Chico
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1
Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2
Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

Chico

(Away)
03 Oct
Deportes Tolima
0 : 0
Chico
25 Sept
Chico
3 : 0
Dep. Pasto
19 Sept
Millonarios
3 : 0
Chico
16 Sept
Chico
1 : 2
Alianza
12 Sept
Chico
2 : 1
Ind. Medellin
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America De Cali 12 8 3 1 24:7 27
2 Dep. Cali 13 7 4 2 20:9 25
3 Atl. Nacional 11 7 2 2 21:10 23
4 Bucaramanga 11 6 5 0 20:10 23
5 Santa Fe 12 6 4 2 19:12 22
6 Millonarios 14 5 7 2 19:12 22
7 Ind. Medellin 12 6 2 4 19:16 20
8 Deportes Tolima 13 5 5 3 15:13 20
9 Once Caldas 13 4 4 5 16:16 16
10 Aguilas Doradas 12 3 6 3 16:17 15
11 Cucuta 12 4 3 5 15:19 15
12 Llaneros 13 4 2 7 15:17 14
13 Inter Bogotá 14 2 8 4 16:20 14
14 Chico 11 3 3 5 10:18 12
15 Alianza 13 3 3 7 14:26 12
16 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 13 1 8 4 14:19 11
17 Junior 12 2 4 6 18:22 10
18 Dep. Pasto 12 2 3 7 9:18 9
19 Dep. Pereira 12 1 6 5 7:17 9
20 Jaguares de Cordoba 11 1 4 6 11:20 7
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)