Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Fe vs Inter Bogotá

Colombia Colombia

Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Quinones D.
18'
Caballero J.
43'
Sub
Fagundez F. In: Bustos N.
Out: Fagundez F.

AI Match Summary

Santa Fe in this Primera A matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Fe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santa Fe
20%
Draws
40%
Inter Bogotá
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santa Fe lately — more wins on the board than Inter Bogotá.
  • Win probability leans Santa Fe's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
Inter Bogotá Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe Inter Bogotá
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 11
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 1.57 1.14
Goals Conceded 0.83 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Inter Bogotá
3:1
Sep 28, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Inter Bogotá
3:0
Apr 11, 2025 Primera A
Inter Bogotá vs Santa Fe
2:1
Jul 27, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Inter Bogotá
0:1
May 26, 2024 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Inter Bogotá
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Fe Compare

Top Goalscorer Olivera E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bustos N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Inter Bogotá Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanguinetti F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 50 / 100
Inter Bogotá 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe Inter Bogotá

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Fe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Inter Bogotá has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Santa Fe stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS Inter Bogotá
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1
Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1
Dep. Cali
19 Sept
Alianza
1 : 4
Santa Fe
15 Sept
Vasco
2 : 0
Santa Fe
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0
Deportes Tolima
Page 1 of 6

Inter Bogotá

(Away)
26 Sept
Dep. Pereira
0 : 0
Inter Bogotá
20 Sept
Bucaramanga
2 : 0
Inter Bogotá
17 Sept
Inter Bogotá
2 : 3
Atl. Nacional
12 Sept
Inter Bogotá
3 : 2
Llaneros
09 Sept
Real Cundinamarca
1 : 2
Inter Bogotá
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atl. Nacional 19 13 1 5 35:15 40
2 Junior 19 11 2 6 31:24 35
3 Dep. Pasto 19 10 4 5 29:25 34
4 America De Cali 19 10 3 6 25:15 33
5 Once Caldas 19 8 9 2 31:22 33
6 Deportes Tolima 19 8 7 4 27:17 31
7 Santa Fe 19 7 8 4 29:22 29
8 Inter Bogotá 19 7 7 5 26:26 28
9 Dep. Cali 19 7 6 6 20:16 27
10 Millonarios 19 7 5 7 31:23 26
11 Ind. Medellin 19 7 5 7 26:24 26
12 Aguilas Doradas 19 7 5 7 20:25 26
13 Bucaramanga 19 5 8 6 26:20 23
14 Llaneros 19 4 10 5 17:20 22
15 Fortaleza C.E.I.F. 19 5 7 7 22:27 22
16 Jaguares de Cordoba 19 5 3 11 20:33 18
17 Alianza 19 3 8 8 13:27 17
18 Chico 19 5 2 12 15:32 17
19 Cucuta 19 3 7 9 22:35 16
20 Dep. Pereira 19 1 7 11 15:32 10
Promotion - Primera A (Apertura - Play Offs)