Sport Picks
Santa Fe vs Millonarios - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Primera A Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
Match Events
6'
6'
Ruiz D.
Assist: Castro L.
18'
18'
Rodallega H.
27'
27'
Valencia S.
AI Match Summary
The Primera A game between Santa Fe and Millonarios finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Fe.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Santa Fe come out ahead of Millonarios on wins alone.
- 36% — that's where the model lands on Santa Fe taking it.
- Regular Primera A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 16%
Millonarios Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Fe | Millonarios |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 12 |
| Losses | 5 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.41 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.85 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 3, 2026 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Millonarios
3:2
Apr 12, 2026 Primera A
Millonarios vs Santa Fe
1:1
Oct 25, 2025 Primera A
Santa Fe vs Millonarios
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Primera A
Millonarios vs Santa Fe
0:0
Jun 20, 2025 Primera A
Millonarios vs Santa Fe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Fe Compare
Top Goalscorer Torres J.
1 Goals Assists Leader Fagundez F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Millonarios Compare
Top Goalscorer Ruiz D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Estupinan A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Fe 36 / 100
Millonarios 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Fe Millonarios
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Santa Fe scored in 74% of their last 27 outings.
Millonarios has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.
H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.
Santa Fe went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santa Fe VS Millonarios
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Fe
(Home) 22 Oct
Santa Fe
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
18 Oct
Llaneros
1 : 0 Santa Fe
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6
22 Oct
Santa Fe
2 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0 Vasco
Page 1 of 3
Millonarios
(Away) 21 Oct
Millonarios
1 : 1 Once Caldas
17 Oct
Millonarios
4 : 1 Jaguares de Cordoba
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1 Millonarios
03 Oct
Barranquilla
2 : 1 Millonarios
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2 Millonarios
Page 1 of 6
09 Oct
Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
1 : 1 Millonarios
03 Oct
Barranquilla
2 : 1 Millonarios
30 Sept
Ind. Medellin
2 : 2 Millonarios
25 Sept
Atl. Nacional
1 : 1 Millonarios
14 Sept
Cucuta
1 : 2 Millonarios
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 28:12 | 29 |
| 2 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 23:9 | 29 |
| 3 | America De Cali | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 26:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Millonarios | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:14 | 26 |
| 5 | Bucaramanga | 14 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 22:13 | 25 |
| 6 | Santa Fe | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 21:14 | 25 |
| 7 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 21:19 | 23 |
| 8 | Cucuta | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 21 |
| 9 | Once Caldas | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19:17 | 20 |
| 10 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 20 |
| 11 | Aguilas Doradas | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:19 | 19 |
| 12 | Inter Bogotá | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 18:21 | 17 |
| 13 | Llaneros | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Alianza | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:26 | 15 |
| 15 | Chico | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 12:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Dep. Pereira | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 10:18 | 13 |
| 17 | Junior | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 19:23 | 12 |
| 18 | Fortaleza C.E.I.F. | 14 | 1 | 8 | 5 | 15:21 | 11 |
| 19 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 16:28 | 10 |
| 20 | Dep. Pasto | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 9:22 | 9 |
Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular)
