Sport Picks
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Colombia
Copa Colombia Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
AI Match Summary
A one-off knockout match in the Copa Colombia. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Santa Fe at 1.52 goals for, 0.81 against; Once Caldas at 1.31 for, 1.12 against. Head-to-head, Santa Fe have won 2 to Once Caldas's 1, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 3, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 0.88, favoring Santa Fe. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Santa Fe carry the better recent record into this one.
- Santa Fe are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Santa Fe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Once Caldas, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Fe | Once Caldas |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 27 | 26 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 9 | 10 |
| Losses | 4 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 1.12 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Fe scored in 78% of their last 27 games.
Once Caldas let in goals in 73% of their last 26 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.
Santa Fe has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
