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Santa Fe vs River Plate

South America South America

Copa Sudamericana Estadio El Campín, Bogotá
Santa Fe Logo

Santa Fe

0 - 0
FT
River Plate Logo

River Plate

Our Tip

Match Events

4'
Rivero L.
45'
Andrada T.
61'
Sub
Borre R. In: Almada T.
Out: Borre R.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-0. The second leg ended 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santa Fe
30%
Draws
19%
River Plate
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Fe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Fe haven't matched River Plate's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santa Fe a 36% chance of winning this.
  • River Plate arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor River Plate, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Fe River Plate
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 12 14
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.62 1.37
Goals Conceded 0.88 0.81
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:0
May 20, 2021 Copa Libertadores
River Plate vs Santa Fe
2:1
May 7, 2021 Copa Libertadores
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:0
May 4, 2018 Copa Libertadores
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:1
Apr 5, 2018 Copa Libertadores
River Plate vs Santa Fe
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Fe 46 / 100
River Plate 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Fe River Plate

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Fe scored in 85% of their last 26 games.

Santa Fe went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: River Plate has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

River Plate's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 27 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Fe VS River Plate
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Fe

(Home)
20 Aug
Santa Fe
0 : 0
River Plate
08 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Chico
06 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 0
Union Magdalena
03 Aug
Santa Fe
2 : 2
Once Caldas
31 Jul
Caracas
0 : 3
Santa Fe
Page 1 of 6

River Plate

(Away)
20 Aug
Santa Fe
0 : 0
River Plate
16 Aug
River Plate
2 : 0
Argentinos Jrs
08 Aug
Tigre
1 : 0
River Plate
02 Aug
River Plate
0 : 1
Rosario Central
29 Jul
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0
River Plate
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 0
River Plate 0
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors -
Sao Paulo -
TBD -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Santos -
Montevideo City -
Cienciano -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
TBD -
TBD -