Sport Picks
Santa Fe vs River Plate - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
South America
Copa Sudamericana Estadio El Campín, Bogotá 
Match Events
4'
4'
Rivero L.
45'
45'
Andrada T.
61'
61'
Sub
Borre R. In: Almada T.
Out: Borre R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
15%
46%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: River Plate
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- River Plate have managed 1.39 goals a game lately — Santa Fe are scoring more at 1.5.
- Model gives Santa Fe a 42% chance of winning this.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor River Plate, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 60%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santa Fe Clean Sheet 68%
River Plate Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Fe | River Plate |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 14 |
| Draws | 10 | 4 |
| Losses | 4 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.5 | 1.39 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.82 | 1.04 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.12 | 1.28 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
River Plate vs Santa Fe
1:2
Aug 20, 2026 Copa Sudamericana
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:0
May 20, 2021 Copa Libertadores
River Plate vs Santa Fe
2:1
May 7, 2021 Copa Libertadores
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:0
May 4, 2018 Copa Libertadores
Santa Fe vs River Plate
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Fe 51 / 100
River Plate 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Fe River Plate
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Fe scored in 79% of their last 28 games.
River Plate let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.
Solid form: Santa Fe remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Santa Fe VS River Plate
1.38 Goals Scored 1.43
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.86
63% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 57%
38% Over 3.5 29%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Fe
(Home) 11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
06 Oct
Ind. Medellin
0 : 1 Santa Fe
29 Sept
Dep. Pereira
1 : 2 Santa Fe
25 Sept
Union Magdalena
1 : 1 Santa Fe
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Santa Fe
3 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
23 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 1 Dep. Cali
12 Sept
Santa Fe
1 : 0 Deportes Tolima
08 Sept
Santa Fe
0 : 0 Vasco
05 Sept
Santa Fe
2 : 2 Fortaleza C.E.I.F.
Page 1 of 4
River Plate
(Away) 11 Oct
River Plate
1 : 0 Estudiantes Rio Cuarto
19 Sept
River Plate
1 : 2 Huracan
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
06 Sept
River Plate
3 : 1 Ind. Rivadavia
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3 River Plate
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Atl. Tucuman
1 : 2 River Plate
30 Aug
Banfield
2 : 3 River Plate
20 Aug
Santa Fe
0 : 0 River Plate
08 Aug
Tigre
1 : 0 River Plate
29 Jul
Gimnasia L.P.
1 : 0 River Plate
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Boca Juniors 2
O Higgins 1
TBD -
Recoleta -
Bolivar 4
Gremio 2
TBD -
Sao Paulo -
Santa Fe 5
Caracas 0
TBD -
River Plate -
Ind. Medellin 2
Vasco 3
TBD -
Olimpia Asuncion -
Sporting Cristal 0
Bragantino 1
TBD -
Atletico-MG -
Universidad Central 3
Santos 8
TBD -
Macara -
Club Nacional 2
Tigre 4
TBD -
Montevideo City -
Lanus 2
Cienciano 4
TBD -
Botafogo RJ -
1/8-finals
Boca Juniors 7
Recoleta 1
Bolivar 2
Sao Paulo 4
Santa Fe 2
River Plate 1
Vasco 4
Olimpia Asuncion 1
Bragantino 2
Atletico-MG 3
Santos 2
Macara 1
Tigre 1
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 6
Botafogo RJ 2
Quarter-finals
Boca Juniors 2
Sao Paulo 1
Santa Fe 0
Vasco 2
Atletico-MG 5
Santos 4
Montevideo City 3
Cienciano 2
Semi-finals
Boca Juniors -
Vasco -
Atletico-MG -
Montevideo City -
Final
TBD -
TBD -
