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Santa Helena vs Jaragua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Goiano 2 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Helena in this Goiano 2 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Helena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Santa Helena
20%
Draws
10%
Jaragua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Helena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Jaragua haven't matched Santa Helena's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santa Helena's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Santa Helena have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santa Helena Clean Sheet 17%
Jaragua Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Helena Jaragua
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.29 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Goiano 2
Jaragua vs Santa Helena
1:1
Aug 20, 2023 Goiano 2
Santa Helena vs Jaragua
2:0
Sep 16, 2018 Goiano 2
Santa Helena vs Jaragua
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Helena 84 / 100
Jaragua 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Helena Jaragua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Helena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jaragua let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Santa Helena scored in 68% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 1.67 goals.

Solid form: Santa Helena remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Helena VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Helena

(Home)
15 Nov
Sao Luis
2 : 1
Santa Helena
08 Nov
Santa Helena
0 : 2
ABD FC
01 Nov
Santa Helena
5 : 1
Rioverdense
25 Oct
America GO
1 : 1
Santa Helena
19 Oct
Itumbiara
2 : 4
Santa Helena
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Jaragua

(Away)
21 Oct
Goiatuba EC
4 : 2
Jaragua
15 Oct
Jaragua
3 : 4
Anapolina
07 Oct
Jaragua
1 : 1
Santa Helena
04 Oct
Centro Oeste
4 : 0
Jaragua
30 Sept
Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)
2 : 1
Jaragua
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Novo Horizonte 14 7 6 1 23:12 27
2 Goiania 14 6 5 3 17:12 23
3 Jaragua 14 5 1 8 18:25 16
4 Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV) 14 3 4 7 12:17 13
5 Santa Helena 14 3 1 10 14:24 10
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2019 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRAC 14 10 3 1 22:10 33
2 Goianesia 14 7 1 6 19:18 22
3 Jataiense 14 5 4 5 16:19 19
4 America GO 14 5 2 7 16:18 17
5 Trindade 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
Promotion - Campeonato Goiano 2019 (Main)