Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019

Santa Iria

1 - 0

Nogueirense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2018/2019 game between Santa Iria and Nogueirense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Iria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

Santa Iria

Draws

Nogueirense

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Iria

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Santa Iria come out ahead of Nogueirense on wins alone.
Santa Iria are the model's pick here, at 90%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 44%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%

Santa Iria Clean Sheet 68%

Nogueirense Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santa Iria	Nogueirense
Matches Played	32	30
Wins	10	9
Draws	7	8
Losses	15	13
Goals Scored	1	0.5
Goals Conceded	1.13	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.13	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Santa Iria vs Nogueirense

Possession: 47% - 45% Cards: 1 - 3

1:0

Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C

Nogueirense vs Santa Iria

Possession: 51% - 50% Cards: 1 - 3

3:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Iria 95 / 100

Nogueirense 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santa Iria Nogueirense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFS Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Iria's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Defensive concern: Nogueirense conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Santa Iria has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santa Iria VS Nogueirense

1 Goals Scored 0.5

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25

50% Over 1.5 38%

50% Over 2.5 38%

38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Leiria	34	24	3	7	59:24	75
2	Vilafranquense	34	21	9	4	56:22	72
3	Anadia	34	20	11	3	52:23	71
4	SB Castelo Branco	34	17	11	6	45:23	62
5	Sintrense	34	15	9	10	49:41	54
6	Oliveira Hospital	34	13	13	8	42:27	52
7	Alverca	34	14	9	11	39:33	51
8	Caldas SC	34	12	10	12	37:38	46
9	Oleiros	34	11	12	11	38:44	45
10	Torreense	34	11	11	12	36:36	44
11	Fatima	34	12	7	15	38:46	43
12	GS Loures	34	11	8	15	33:31	41
13	Sertanense	34	8	17	9	32:36	41
14	Nogueirense	34	11	8	15	32:39	41
15	Santa Iria	34	9	8	17	35:55	35
16	Alcains	34	5	8	21	21:48	23
17	GD Peniche	34	5	8	21	22:51	23
18	Macao	34	3	6	25	20:69	15