Sport Picks
Santa Maria Cilento vs ASD Giarre - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 
Match Events
8'
8'
Maggio D.
(Penalty)
23'
23'
Cunzi E.
40'
40'
Cunzi E.
AI Match Summary
Santa Maria Cilento in this Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Maria Cilento.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
19%
30%
51%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: ASD Giarre
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Santa Maria Cilento have won more games recently than ASD Giarre.
- Win probability leans ASD Giarre's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Santa Maria Cilento Clean Sheet 24%
ASD Giarre Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Maria Cilento | ASD Giarre |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 38 | 28 |
| Wins | 11 | 8 |
| Draws | 9 | 11 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 0.84 | 1.04 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.07 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.79 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 14, 2022 Serie D - Group I
Santa Maria Cilento vs ASD Giarre
2:1
Dec 5, 2021 Serie D - Group I
ASD Giarre vs Santa Maria Cilento
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Maria Cilento Compare
Top Goalscorer Cunzi E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.61
Avg xA / game 0.4
ASD Giarre Compare
Top Goalscorer Agudiak I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Maria Cilento 10 / 100
ASD Giarre 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Maria Cilento ASD Giarre
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ASD Giarre Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
ASD Giarre has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.
Santa Maria Cilento scored in 45% of their last 38 games.
Santa Maria Cilento went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Santa Maria Cilento VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
25% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Maria Cilento
(Home) 05 May
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 A.C.D. Nardo
28 Apr
Paganese
4 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
21 Apr
Citta di Fasano
0 : 3 Santa Maria Cilento
14 Apr
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
07 Apr
Angri
0 : 0 Santa Maria Cilento
Page 1 of 8
05 May
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 A.C.D. Nardo
14 Apr
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 Martina Calcio
28 Mar
Santa Maria Cilento
3 : 4 Casarano
17 Mar
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 3 Fidelis Andria
03 Mar
Santa Maria Cilento
0 : 2 Rotonda
Page 1 of 4
ASD Giarre
(Away) 22 May
Licata
1 : 3 ASD Giarre
15 May
ASD Giarre
5 : 1 San Luca
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4 ASD Giarre
27 Apr
ASD Giarre
1 : 1 Licata
24 Apr
Castrovillari
0 : 0 ASD Giarre
Page 1 of 6
22 May
Licata
1 : 3 ASD Giarre
08 May
Biancavilla
1 : 4 ASD Giarre
24 Apr
Castrovillari
0 : 0 ASD Giarre
14 Apr
Santa Maria Cilento
2 : 1 ASD Giarre
03 Apr
Rende
0 : 0 ASD Giarre
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gelbison | 36 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 63:23 | 78 |
| 2 | Cavese | 36 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 58:21 | 77 |
| 3 | AS Acireale | 36 | 19 | 12 | 5 | 58:31 | 69 |
| 4 | Lamezia Terme | 36 | 20 | 9 | 7 | 58:35 | 69 |
| 5 | S. Agata | 36 | 16 | 12 | 8 | 47:31 | 60 |
| 6 | Paterno | 36 | 14 | 10 | 12 | 45:41 | 52 |
| 7 | Cittanovese | 36 | 16 | 4 | 16 | 48:56 | 52 |
| 8 | Santa Maria Cilento | 36 | 14 | 9 | 13 | 58:50 | 51 |
| 9 | Licata | 36 | 13 | 11 | 12 | 57:45 | 50 |
| 10 | Real Normanna | 36 | 13 | 10 | 13 | 36:34 | 49 |
| 11 | Portici 1906 | 36 | 12 | 8 | 16 | 42:44 | 44 |
| 12 | Trapani | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 44:47 | 41 |
| 13 | San Luca | 36 | 9 | 14 | 13 | 45:52 | 41 |
| 14 | Sancataldese | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 34:60 | 40 |
| 15 | ASD Giarre | 36 | 9 | 12 | 15 | 33:42 | 39 |
| 16 | Castrovillari | 36 | 9 | 11 | 16 | 39:48 | 38 |
| 17 | Rende | 36 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 35:50 | 36 |
| 18 | Troina | 36 | 9 | 8 | 19 | 39:71 | 29 |
| 19 | Biancavilla | 36 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 25:83 | 14 |
| 20 | FC Messina | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group I 2021/2022 (Play Out)
