Sport Picks
Santa Maria Cilento vs Casarano - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group H 2023/2024 game between Santa Maria Cilento and Casarano finished 3-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casarano.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Santa Maria Cilento haven't matched Casarano's recent run of results.
- Casarano are the model's pick here, at 70%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Maria Cilento | Casarano |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.67 | 1.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.7 | 1.33 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 1.61 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Maria Cilento Compare
Casarano Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
These sides typically produce 4.50 goals when they meet.
Casarano let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.
Attacking prowess: Santa Maria Cilento scored in 33% of their last 30 outings.
Recent resilience: Santa Maria Cilento stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Maria Cilento
(Home)Casarano
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Altamura | 34 | 21 | 9 | 4 | 51:23 | 72 |
| 2 | Martina Calcio | 34 | 18 | 12 | 4 | 51:23 | 66 |
| 3 | A.C.D. Nardo | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 53:24 | 65 |
| 4 | Fidelis Andria | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 58:32 | 61 |
| 5 | Casarano | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:32 | 55 |
| 6 | Matera | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 45:37 | 53 |
| 7 | Paganese | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 42:43 | 45 |
| 8 | Palmese 1914 | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 45:52 | 45 |
| 9 | Gelbison | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 41:37 | 43 |
| 10 | Rotonda | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 36:36 | 42 |
| 11 | Gravina | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 49:44 | 41 |
| 12 | Manfredonia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 28:38 | 41 |
| 13 | Citta di Fasano | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 38:57 | 41 |
| 14 | Angri | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | 39 |
| 15 | Gallipoli | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 27:49 | 33 |
| 16 | Barletta | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 30:45 | 30 |
| 17 | Bitonto | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 22:45 | 30 |
| 18 | Santa Maria Cilento | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 22:55 | 25 |
