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Santa Maria FC vs Valenciano

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria FC in this Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Maria FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santa Maria FC
6%
Draws
4%
Valenciano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santa Maria FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Valenciano haven't matched Santa Maria FC's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santa Maria FC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Nacional - Group A 2013/2014 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Santa Maria FC have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Maria FC Clean Sheet 16%
Valenciano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria FC Valenciano
Matches Played 33 30
Wins 9 6
Draws 11 6
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.88 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.38 4.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.60
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 4.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Valenciano
3:1
Mar 2, 2014 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Santa Maria FC
1:3
Nov 24, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Santa Maria FC vs Valenciano
0:2
Aug 25, 2013 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Valenciano vs Santa Maria FC
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria FC 84 / 100
Valenciano 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria FC Valenciano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Valenciano let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Santa Maria FC scored in 70% of their last 33 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Valenciano's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria FC VS Valenciano
1.88 Goals Scored 1.6
1.38 Goals Conceded 4.2
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vilaverdense FC1484220:939
2AD Fafe1464420:1439
3SC Vianense1466219:1337
4SC Mirandela1447318:1334
5Santa Maria FC1455415:1531
6Pedras Salgadas1436512:1523
7Ninense1435612:1918
8Valenciano14131011:2917