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Santa Maria U20 vs Real Brasilia U20

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense U20 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Maria U20 play Real Brasilia U20 in the Brasiliense U20 2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Santa Maria U20 averaged 1.76 goals scored and 1.52 conceded. Real Brasilia U20 averaged 2.52 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. In past meetings, Santa Maria U20 won 0, Real Brasilia U20 won 3, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 6, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.44 for Santa Maria U20 and 2.75 for Real Brasilia U20. This points to a Real Brasilia U20 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Santa Maria U20
19%
Draws
47%
Real Brasilia U20
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Real Brasilia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Santa Maria U20 picked up more points recently compared to Real Brasilia U20.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.44 vs 2.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 68%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 45%
Santa Maria U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Real Brasilia U20 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria U20 Real Brasilia U20
Matches Played 29 33
Wins 13 20
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.76 2.52
Goals Conceded 1.52 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 3.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 6, 2026 Brasiliense U20
Real Brasilia U20 vs Santa Maria U20
3:0
Jul 1, 2023 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Real Brasilia U20
3:3
Aug 7, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Real Brasilia U20 vs Santa Maria U20
7:0
Aug 5, 2021 Brasiliense U20
Santa Maria U20 vs Real Brasilia U20
0:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria U20 33 / 100
Real Brasilia U20 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria U20 Real Brasilia U20

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Real Brasilia U20 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +30.9%
3.85
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.5%
1.61
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Santa Maria U20 attacking → ← attacking Real Brasilia U20

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Maria U20 scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Real Brasilia U20 let in goals in 52% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Santa Maria U20 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Real Brasilia U20 lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 65
1.88 Goals expected (xG) 3.63
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00