Sport Picks
Santa Maria vs Capital - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Brazil
Brasiliense 2023 
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Brasiliense 2023 game between Santa Maria and Capital finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Capital.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Santa Maria haven't matched Capital's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Capital's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Brasiliense 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Capital here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Maria | Capital |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 34 |
| Wins | 6 | 18 |
| Draws | 4 | 10 |
| Losses | 20 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Maria Compare
Capital Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.40 goals per match.
Capital has conceded goals in 68% of their last 34 outings.
Santa Maria scored in 53% of their last 30 games.
Away concern: Capital has suffered 1 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Maria
(Home)Capital
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Real Brasilia | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 13:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Brasiliense | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 18:9 | 15 |
| 3 | Capital | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 11:8 | 15 |
| 4 | Paranoa | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Gama | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 8:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Ceilandia | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Samambaia | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:16 | 13 |
| 8 | Santa Maria | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:14 | 7 |
| 9 | Taguatinga | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 12:19 | 7 |
| 10 | Brasilia FC (DF) | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 9:18 | 7 |
