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Santa Maria vs Unai EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Brasiliense 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Unai EC in this Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Unai EC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Santa Maria
15%
Draws
85%
Unai EC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Unai EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Unai EC lately — more wins on the board than Santa Maria.
  • Win probability leans Unai EC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 75%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santa Maria Clean Sheet 10%
Unai EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Maria Unai EC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 4 7
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.87 1.57
Goals Conceded 2.19 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2022 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
1:2
Feb 27, 2021 Brasiliense
Santa Maria vs Unai EC
0:1
Mar 13, 2019 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
2:0
Feb 18, 2018 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
3:1
Feb 5, 2017 Brasiliense
Unai EC vs Santa Maria
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Maria 10 / 100
Unai EC 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Maria Unai EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Unai EC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Unai EC let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Unai EC has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Santa Maria's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Maria VS Unai EC
1.5 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 3
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Maria

(Home)
10 Mar
Capital
7 : 1
Santa Maria
03 Mar
Santa Maria
0 : 4
Planaltina
25 Feb
Real Brasilia
1 : 0
Santa Maria
18 Feb
Santa Maria
0 : 5
Gama
08 Feb
Paranoa
1 : 0
Santa Maria
Page 1 of 7

Unai EC

(Away)
19 Feb
Gama
3 : 2
Unai EC
16 Feb
Unai EC
2 : 1
Paranoa
12 Feb
Capital
3 : 1
Unai EC
09 Feb
Unai EC
3 : 2
Brasiliense
06 Feb
Ceilandia
1 : 0
Unai EC
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Taguatinga 6 4 0 2 11:8 12
2 Gama 6 3 1 2 9:4 10
3 Unai EC 6 3 1 2 13:10 10
4 Luziania 6 3 0 3 7:9 9
5 Real Brasilia 6 2 1 3 6:10 7
6 Samambaia 6 1 1 4 11:19 4
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Brasiliense 6 6 0 0 18:5 18
2 Capital 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
3 Ceilandia 6 4 0 2 14:7 12
4 Santa Maria 6 1 2 3 5:6 5
5 Sobradinho 6 0 1 5 5:16 1
6 Bosque Formosa 6 0 0 6 7:21 0
Promotion - Campeonato Brasiliense 2021 (Second stage)