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Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Sao Martinho

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 game between Santa Marta Penaguiao and Sao Martinho finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Sao Martinho.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santa Marta Penaguiao
20%
Draws
38%
Sao Martinho
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Marta Penaguiao

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sao Martinho come out ahead of Santa Marta Penaguiao on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santa Marta Penaguiao's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santa Marta Penaguiao Clean Sheet 19%
Sao Martinho Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Penaguiao Sao Martinho
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 6 13
Draws 6 5
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 0 1.38
Goals Conceded 0 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Santa Marta Penaguiao vs Sao Martinho
0:1
Dec 5, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Sao Martinho vs Santa Marta Penaguiao
4:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Penaguiao 42 / 100
Sao Martinho 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Penaguiao Sao Martinho

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sao Martinho's defensive record shows goals conceded in 65% of 34 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Santa Marta Penaguiao went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Santa Marta Penaguiao's goal record stands at 56% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Sao Martinho
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes18123323:939
2Sao Martinho18115229:1038
3Tirsense1897217:834
4SC Mirandela18103521:1633
5Amarante FC1886433:2130
6Vila Mea1873822:2024
7SC Vila Real1845921:3617
8Santa Marta Penaguiao18431115:3315
9Berco18341116:2713
10Macedo de Cavaleiros18131410:276