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Santa Marta Tormes vs Arandina

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Jose D.

AI Match Summary

Santa Marta Tormes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Marta Tormes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santa Marta Tormes
20%
Draws
38%
Arandina
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Santa Marta Tormes have won more games recently than Arandina.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Santa Marta Tormes taking it.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 20%
Arandina Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Tormes Arandina
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 5, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Arandina
1:0
Apr 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Arandina
1:1
Dec 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Santa Marta Tormes
0:1
May 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Arandina
0:0
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Arandina vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Marta Tormes Compare

Top Goalscorer Jose D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Arandina Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Tormes 36 / 100
Arandina 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Tormes Arandina

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Marta Tormes found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Arandina conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Santa Marta Tormes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santa Marta Tormes VS Arandina
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.14
88% Over 1.5 57%
38% Over 2.5 14%
13% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Marta Tormes

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2
Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Arandina

(Away)
03 Oct
Turegano
1 : 1
Arandina
26 Sept
Arandina
1 : 0
Calasanz de Soria
20 Sept
Salamanca CF UDS B
3 : 4
Arandina
12 Sept
Arandina
1 : 1
Almazan
05 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Arandina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Burgos CF B 5 4 1 0 9:1 13
2 Santa Marta Tormes 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Mansilles 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
4 Bembibre 5 3 1 1 7:4 10
5 Palencia CA 5 3 1 1 6:3 10
6 Leonesa B 5 3 1 1 4:2 10
7 La Virgen 5 3 0 2 7:5 9
8 Arandina 5 2 2 1 7:6 8
9 Almazan 5 1 4 0 8:7 7
10 Palencia CF 5 2 1 2 7:6 7
11 Calasanz de Soria 5 2 1 2 7:9 7
12 Villaralbo 5 1 2 2 9:7 5
13 Salamanca CF UDS B 5 1 1 3 6:11 4
14 Guijuelo 4 1 0 3 4:5 3
15 Turegano 5 0 2 3 3:7 2
16 Unionistas de Salamanca B 5 0 2 3 4:9 2
17 Mirandes B 5 0 1 4 2:7 1
18 Colegios Diocesanos 5 0 1 4 1:10 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 (Play Offs)