Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Marta Tormes vs Bergantinos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Copa Federacion
Santa Marta Tormes Logo

Santa Marta Tormes

1 - 0
FT
Bergantinos Logo

Bergantinos

Our Tip

Match Events

67' Event
Velazquez M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Marta Tormes
15%
Draws
49%
Bergantinos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Bergantinos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bergantinos come out ahead of Santa Marta Tormes on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Bergantinos arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santa Marta Tormes, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 15%
Bergantinos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Marta Tormes Bergantinos
Matches Played 29 35
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.31 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 16, 2026 Copa Federacion
Santa Marta Tormes vs Bergantinos
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Marta Tormes Compare

Top Goalscorer Velazquez M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Bergantinos Compare

Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Marta Tormes 31 / 100
Bergantinos 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Marta Tormes Bergantinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Bergantinos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Marta Tormes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Bergantinos let in goals in 60% of their last 35 matches.

Recent resilience: Santa Marta Tormes stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Santa Marta Tormes VS Bergantinos
1.38 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Marta Tormes

(Home)
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0
Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2
Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0
Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0
Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6

Bergantinos

(Away)
04 Oct
Bergantinos
3 : 1
Coruxo FC
27 Sept
Bergantinos
3 : 2
Portugalete
20 Sept
Gimnastic de Torrelavega
0 : 3
Bergantinos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0
Bergantinos
13 Sept
Bergantinos
1 : 0
Amorebieta
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Comillas CF 3
L Hospitalet 2
CF Badalona 2
Sestao 3
AD San Juan 0
Terrassa 1
Binefar 1
Porreres 0
Santa Marta Tormes 2
Vimenor 1
Bergantinos 5
Leioa 0
Compostela 1
Derio 2
Salamanca CF UDS 3
Caudal Deportivo 2
Motril 0
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 2
UD San Pedro 0
Melilla 0
Conil 1
Sporting Ceuta 0
Dos Hermanas 9
Torrent 1
Atletico Saguntino 2
CF Talavera 0
Navalcarnero 2
UD San Fernando 1
Orihuela 3
Mensajero 1
Murcia 2
1/8-finals
Comillas CF 1
Sestao 2
Terrassa 4
Binefar 0
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Bergantinos 0
Derio 3
Salamanca CF UDS 5
Recreativo Huelva 2
Cacereno 1
Conil 1
Dos Hermanas 0
Atletico Saguntino 0
Navalcarnero 4
Orihuela 1
Murcia 4
Quarter-finals
Sestao 4
Terrassa 1
Santa Marta Tormes 1
Salamanca CF UDS 2
Recreativo Huelva 2
Conil 1
Navalcarnero 3
Murcia 1
Semi-finals
Sestao -
Salamanca CF UDS -
Recreativo Huelva -
Navalcarnero -
Final
TBD -
TBD -