Sport Picks
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
38'
38'
Galvan M.
49'
49'
Sanchez R.
62'
62'
Vallejo R.
AI Match Summary
Palencia CA in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Palencia CA.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
15%
45%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Palencia CA
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
15%
/ Low Confidence
- Santa Marta Tormes haven't matched Palencia CA's recent run of results.
- Santa Marta Tormes are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 20%
Palencia CA Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Marta Tormes | Palencia CA |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 16 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 8 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.28 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 0.76 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CA
1:2
Oct 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
Feb 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CA vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CA
3:3
Mar 23, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CA
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Top Goalscorer Galvan M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Palencia CA Compare
Top Goalscorer Sanchez R.
1 Goals Assists Leader Vallejo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Marta Tormes 36 / 100
Palencia CA 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Marta Tormes Palencia CA
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.
Santa Marta Tormes scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Solid form: Santa Marta Tormes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Palencia CA let in goals in 59% of their last 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Santa Marta Tormes VS Palencia CA
1.38 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Marta Tormes
(Home) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1 Vimenor
Page 1 of 3
Palencia CA
(Away) 04 Oct
Palencia CA
3 : 0 Unionistas de Salamanca B
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
20 Sept
Palencia CA
1 : 0 Guijuelo
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
05 Sept
Palencia CA
0 : 2 Bembibre
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
La Virgen
0 : 1 Palencia CA
12 Sept
Mansilles
1 : 1 Palencia CA
15 Aug
CD Laredo
1 : 1 Palencia CA
17 May
Palencia CF
2 : 0 Palencia CA
10 May
Colegios Diocesanos
1 : 2 Palencia CA
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
