Sport Picks
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CF - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 
Match Events
16'
16'
Hernandez I.
19'
19'
Chopi
44'
44'
Galvan M.
AI Match Summary
Santa Marta Tormes in this Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santa Marta Tormes.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Marta Tormes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
48%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Palencia CF lately — more wins on the board than Santa Marta Tormes.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%
Santa Marta Tormes Clean Sheet 68%
Palencia CF Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santa Marta Tormes | Palencia CF |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 15 |
| Draws | 8 | 3 |
| Losses | 8 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.07 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 27, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Santa Marta Tormes
3:0
May 2, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CF
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Santa Marta Tormes
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Santa Marta Tormes vs Palencia CF
2:0
Dec 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 8
Palencia CF vs Santa Marta Tormes
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santa Marta Tormes Compare
Top Goalscorer Chopi
1 Goals Assists Leader Galvan M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
Palencia CF Compare
Top Goalscorer Hernandez I.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santa Marta Tormes 41 / 100
Palencia CF 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santa Marta Tormes Palencia CF
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Santa Marta Tormes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Santa Marta Tormes found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Palencia CF's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Santa Marta Tormes remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Santa Marta Tormes VS Palencia CF
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santa Marta Tormes
(Home) 04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 0 Leonesa B
01 Oct
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 2 Salamanca CF UDS
20 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
3 : 0 Colegios Diocesanos
16 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
1 : 0 Bergantinos
09 Sept
Santa Marta Tormes
2 : 1 Vimenor
Page 1 of 3
Palencia CF
(Away) 03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2 Palencia CF
27 Sept
Palencia CF
3 : 0 Santa Marta Tormes
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Palencia CF
13 Sept
Palencia CF
0 : 1 Leonesa B
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Almazan
2 : 2 Palencia CF
20 Sept
Burgos CF B
3 : 0 Palencia CF
06 Sept
Mirandes B
0 : 2 Palencia CF
29 Aug
Atletico Astorga
0 : 1 Palencia CF
08 Aug
Gijon B
1 : 1 Palencia CF
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Tordesillas | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 62:24 | 78 |
| 2 | Guijuelo | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 54:26 | 70 |
| 3 | Palencia CA | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 48:24 | 68 |
| 4 | Palencia CF | 34 | 20 | 4 | 10 | 59:39 | 64 |
| 5 | Santa Marta Tormes | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 53:31 | 62 |
| 6 | Mansilles | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 31:27 | 57 |
| 7 | Almazan | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 49:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Mirandes B | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 43:35 | 47 |
| 9 | La Virgen | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 31:37 | 44 |
| 10 | Villaralbo | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 29:37 | 42 |
| 11 | Leonesa B | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 38:43 | 42 |
| 12 | Arandina | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:46 | 37 |
| 13 | Colegios Diocesanos | 34 | 10 | 6 | 18 | 33:54 | 36 |
| 14 | Bembibre | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 38:52 | 34 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca B | 34 | 6 | 13 | 15 | 32:43 | 31 |
| 16 | CD Mojados | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 28:55 | 31 |
| 17 | Becerril | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 41:60 | 29 |
| 18 | Numancia B | 34 | 6 | 6 | 22 | 26:56 | 24 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 8 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
