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Santa Rita vs Academica

Angola Angola

Girabola 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Domingos L.

AI Match Summary

The Girabola 2024/2025 game between Santa Rita and Academica finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Rita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

78%
Santa Rita
15%
Draws
7%
Academica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Academica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Santa Rita a 78% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Girabola 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.4%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 19%
Academica Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rita Academica
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 7
Draws 8 8
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.43 0.71
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2025 Girabola
Santa Rita vs Academica
1:0
Dec 21, 2024 Girabola
Academica vs Santa Rita
0:0
May 26, 2024 Girabola
Santa Rita vs Academica
1:1
Feb 17, 2024 Girabola
Academica vs Santa Rita
1:0
Feb 19, 2023 Girabola
Santa Rita vs Academica
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Rita Compare

Top Goalscorer Domingos L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Academica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rita 85 / 100
Academica 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rita Academica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Academica let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Recent resilience: Santa Rita stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Academica lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Santa Rita scored in 33% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Academica
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rita

(Home)
25 May
Santa Rita
1 : 0
Academica
17 May
CD Lunda Sul
0 : 2
Santa Rita
12 May
Santa Rita
0 : 1
Interclube
03 May
C.R.D. Libolo
0 : 1
Santa Rita
27 Apr
Santa Rita
1 : 0
Luanda City
Page 1 of 6

Academica

(Away)
10 Sept
Interclube
2 : 0
Academica
05 Sept
Academica
0 : 2
Primeiro de Maio
30 Aug
Academica
0 : 2
Petro Atletico
23 Aug
Wiliete
2 : 0
Academica
24 May
Academica
0 : 0
Interclube
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Petro Atletico 30 20 8 2 46:13 68
2 Wiliete 30 18 6 6 49:23 60
3 Primeiro de Agosto 30 14 13 3 35:19 55
4 Sagrada 30 13 10 7 28:23 49
5 Bravos do Maquis 30 11 15 4 35:21 48
6 Sao Salvador 30 14 6 10 38:25 48
7 Interclube 30 10 12 8 34:20 42
8 Desportivo Huila 30 12 6 12 27:24 42
9 Kabuscorp 30 9 12 9 26:26 39
10 CD Lunda Sul 30 8 11 11 21:28 35
11 Academica 30 7 11 12 22:36 32
12 C.R.D. Libolo 30 6 12 12 26:33 30
13 Luanda City 30 7 7 16 25:44 28
14 Santa Rita 30 6 8 16 13:32 26
15 Isaac de Benguela 30 5 8 17 27:47 23
16 Carmona 30 3 9 18 11:49 18
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)