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Santa Rita vs Fuerza Amarilla

Ecuador Ecuador

Serie B 2020
Sun, Aug 9, 2020
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Rita host Fuerza Amarilla in the Serie B 2020. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Recent numbers: Santa Rita at 0.63 goals for, 0.5 against; Fuerza Amarilla at 0.13 for, 0.63 against. Head-to-head, Santa Rita have won 0 to Fuerza Amarilla's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on Oct 25, 2020, ending 1:1. xG projections (0.63 - 0.32) back Fuerza Amarilla to edge this. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Santa Rita
20%
Draws
38%
Fuerza Amarilla
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rita's 0.63 goals per match outpaces what Fuerza Amarilla have produced (0.13).
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Santa Rita taking it.
  • Regular Serie B 2020 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 20%
Fuerza Amarilla Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rita Fuerza Amarilla
Matches Played 16 16
Wins 2 2
Draws 7 9
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 0.63 0.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 25, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Santa Rita
1:1
Oct 4, 2020 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Santa Rita
0:0
Sep 11, 2020 Serie B
Santa Rita vs Fuerza Amarilla
1:2
Aug 9, 2020 Serie B
Santa Rita vs Fuerza Amarilla
0:0
Oct 14, 2018 Serie B
Fuerza Amarilla vs Santa Rita
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rita 42 / 100
Fuerza Amarilla 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rita Fuerza Amarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Rita scored in 69% of their last 16 outings.

Fuerza Amarilla has conceded goals in 63% of their last 16 outings.

Recent resilience: Santa Rita stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santa Rita VS Fuerza Amarilla
0.63 Goals Scored 0.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 25%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rita

(Home)
14 Nov
Santa Rita
0 : 0
Atletico Santo Domingo
08 Nov
Nueve de Octubre
2 : 1
Santa Rita
05 Nov
Manta
0 : 0
Santa Rita
31 Oct
Santa Rita
0 : 0
Atletico Porteno
25 Oct
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 4

Fuerza Amarilla

(Away)
14 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
America de Quito
08 Nov
Atletico Santo Domingo
0 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
04 Nov
Fuerza Amarilla
0 : 0
Independiente Juniors
31 Oct
Nueve de Octubre
1 : 0
Fuerza Amarilla
25 Oct
Fuerza Amarilla
1 : 1
Santa Rita
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nueve de Octubre1896327:1633
2Manta1895426:1832
3America de Quito1884620:1428
4Atletico Porteno1875615:1526
5Chacaritas1858523:2623
6Gualaceo1864821:2122
7Independiente Juniors1848619:2420
8Atletico Santo Domingo1848612:1920
9Fuerza Amarilla1839614:1918
10Santa Rita1837819:2416
Promotion - Liga Pro 2021 (First stage)