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Santa Rita vs Murici

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Alagoano 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Fabinho
21' Event
Yan Philippe
32' Event
Dyorgenes

AI Match Summary

Murici in this Campeonato Alagoano 2018 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Murici.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Santa Rita
15%
Draws
21%
Murici
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Murici have won more games recently than Santa Rita.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Santa Rita taking it.
  • Regular Campeonato Alagoano 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Murici have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 68%
Murici Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rita Murici
Matches Played 28 33
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 8
Losses 16 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.79 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2018 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs Murici
1:3
Apr 5, 2017 Alagoano
Murici vs Santa Rita
1:0
Mar 5, 2017 Alagoano
Murici vs Santa Rita
2:1
Feb 5, 2017 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs Murici
1:0
Mar 26, 2016 Alagoano
Santa Rita vs Murici
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Rita Compare

Top Goalscorer Yan Philippe
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Murici Compare

Top Goalscorer Dyorgenes
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fabinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rita 95 / 100
Murici 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rita Murici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santa Rita scored in 61% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Santa Rita went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Away concern: Murici has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santa Rita VS Murici
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rita

(Home)
30 Sept
Santa Rita
4 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
27 Sept
Santa Rita
3 : 0
Sport PB
24 Sept
Santa Rita
2 : 0
Serrano PB
19 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
0 : 1
Santa Rita
16 Sept
Auto Esporte
2 : 0
Santa Rita
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Murici

(Away)
18 Mar
Clube Sociedade Esportiva
3 : 0
Murici
14 Mar
Zumbi
1 : 0
Murici
01 Mar
Murici
6 : 0
Miguelense
22 Feb
ASA
3 : 0
Murici
14 Feb
Murici
0 : 0
ASA
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CRB 8 6 1 1 16:4 19
2 CSA 8 5 2 1 16:4 17
3 ASA 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Coruripe 8 4 0 4 9:8 12
5 Centro Esportivo Olhodaguense 8 4 0 4 10:11 12
6 Dimensao Capela 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
7 Murici 8 2 3 3 8:14 9
8 Clube Sociedade Esportiva 8 1 3 4 5:10 6
9 Santa Rita 8 1 2 5 6:15 5
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Campeonato Alagoano 2018 (Play Offs)