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Santa Rita vs Spartax - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paraibano 2
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santa Rita host Spartax in the Paraibano 2. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Spartax have shipped 1.89 goals a game lately, while Santa Rita have conceded 1.71 and scored 1.25. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 1.25, favoring Spartax. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Santa Rita
35%
Draws
14%
Spartax
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santa Rita

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Spartax at 1.5 per game, Santa Rita at 1.25.
  • Win probability leans Santa Rita's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Paraibano 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santa Rita Clean Sheet 19%
Spartax Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rita Spartax
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 8
Draws 5 8
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.89
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rita 85 / 100
Spartax 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rita Spartax

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rita Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spartax conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Santa Rita stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Santa Rita scored in 61% of their last 28 games.

Spartax lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santa Rita VS Spartax
2 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rita

(Home)
03 Oct
Picuiense
0 : 6
Santa Rita
30 Sept
Santa Rita
4 : 0
Sao Paulo Crystal
27 Sept
Santa Rita
3 : 0
Sport PB
24 Sept
Santa Rita
2 : 0
Serrano PB
19 Sept
Cruzeiro-PB
0 : 1
Santa Rita
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Spartax

(Away)
01 Oct
Spartax
1 : 1
Sport PB
26 Sept
Femar
1 : 1
Spartax
23 Sept
Sao Paulo Crystal
4 : 3
Spartax
20 Sept
Spartax
2 : 2
Auto Esporte
17 Sept
Spartax
1 : 1
Serrano PB
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Rita 7 5 0 2 16:8 15
2 Auto Esporte 6 4 2 0 13:4 14
3 Desportiva Guarabira 6 4 1 1 14:2 13
4 Sao Paulo Crystal 7 2 3 2 7:10 9
5 Cruzeiro-PB 6 1 4 1 4:3 7
6 Spartax 6 1 4 1 9:9 7
7 Serrano PB 6 1 4 1 6:6 7
8 Sport PB 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
9 Picuiense 7 1 2 4 4:15 5
10 Femar 7 0 1 6 5:19 1
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Paraibano 2 (Play Offs)