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Santa Rosa vs Marajo

Brazil Brazil

Paraense 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

65'
Viana dos Santos T. V.
80' Event
Macedo D.

AI Match Summary

The Paraense 2024 game between Santa Rosa and Marajo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santa Rosa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Santa Rosa
20%
Draws
16%
Marajo
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santa Rosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santa Rosa come out ahead of Marajo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santa Rosa a 64% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 68%
Marajo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rosa Marajo
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 5
Draws 4 6
Losses 17 19
Goals Scored 0.57 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2024 Paraense
Santa Rosa vs Marajo
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Rosa Compare

Top Goalscorer Macedo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Marajo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rosa 95 / 100
Marajo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rosa Marajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Rosa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Marajo's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 30 matches.

Marajo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santa Rosa scored in 50% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santa Rosa VS Marajo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rosa

(Home)
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Santa Rosa
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2
Paysandu PA
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
Page 1 of 6

Marajo

(Away)
24 May
Marajo
1 : 2
Urumajo
13 May
Paragominas
1 : 1
Marajo
09 May
Urumajo
3 : 0
Marajo
25 Apr
Marajo
0 : 5
Paragominas
12 Jul
Canaa
3 : 0
Marajo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 6 2 0 12:2 20
2 Tuna Luso 8 4 4 0 17:8 16
3 Remo 8 4 2 2 14:6 14
4 Caete 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
5 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 3 2 5:7 12
6 Santa Rosa 8 3 2 3 4:7 11
7 Sao Francisco 8 2 3 3 6:6 9
8 Bragantino PA 8 2 3 3 7:8 9
9 Cameta 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
10 Castanhal 8 1 3 4 8:12 6
11 Marajo 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
12 Canaa 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aguia De Maraba 8 3 3 2 5:7 12
2 Bragantino PA 8 2 3 3 7:8 9
3 Castanhal 8 1 3 4 8:12 6
4 Canaa 8 0 4 4 4:13 4
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Remo 8 4 2 2 14:6 14
2 Caete 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
3 Santa Rosa 8 3 2 3 4:7 11
4 Cameta 8 2 3 3 7:9 9
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paysandu PA 8 6 2 0 12:2 20
2 Tuna Luso 8 4 4 0 17:8 16
3 Sao Francisco 8 2 3 3 6:6 9
4 Marajo 8 1 2 5 5:12 5
Promotion - Paraense 2024 (Play Offs)