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Santa Rosa vs Paysandu PA

Brazil Brazil

Paraense Estádio Abelardo Conduru, Belem
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Italo Carvalho
85' Event
Marcinho

AI Match Summary

The Paraense game between Santa Rosa and Paysandu PA finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Paysandu PA.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santa Rosa
30%
Draws
34%
Paysandu PA
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santa Rosa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Santa Rosa haven't matched Paysandu PA's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santa Rosa a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Paraense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Paysandu PA here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Santa Rosa Clean Sheet 11%
Paysandu PA Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Rosa Paysandu PA
Matches Played 30 44
Wins 9 29
Draws 4 5
Losses 17 10
Goals Scored 0 2.5
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 15, 2026 Paraense
Santa Rosa vs Paysandu PA
0:2
Feb 2, 2025 Paraense
Santa Rosa vs Paysandu PA
2:1
Jan 20, 2024 Paraense
Paysandu PA vs Santa Rosa
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Rosa Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Paysandu PA Compare

Top Goalscorer Italo Carvalho
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marcinho
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Rosa 35 / 100
Paysandu PA 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Rosa Paysandu PA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Paysandu PA conceded in 64% of 44 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Paysandu PA's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Santa Rosa scored in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Paysandu PA
0 Goals Scored 2.5
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Rosa

(Home)
22 Feb
Aguia De Maraba
1 : 0
Santa Rosa
19 Feb
Cameta
2 : 0
Santa Rosa
15 Feb
Santa Rosa
0 : 2
Paysandu PA
12 Feb
Amazonia IFC
2 : 2
Santa Rosa
08 Feb
Santa Rosa
1 : 0
Bragantino PA
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Paysandu PA

(Away)
12 Jul
Paysandu PA
3 : 2
Guarani
05 Jul
Ypiranga FC
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
27 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 3
Santa Cruz
21 Jun
Maranhao
0 : 1
Paysandu PA
14 Jun
Paysandu PA
1 : 2
Internacional de Limeira
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cameta63218:411
2Capitao Poco63129:610
3Paysandu PA63126:410
4Aguia De Maraba63128:710
5Remo62409:510
6Tuna Luso63033:59
7Castanhal62224:58
8Santa Rosa62134:77
9Sao Raimundo PA61326:86
10Amazonia IFC61327:116
11Bragantino PA61236:75
12Sao Francisco61234:55
Promotion - Paraense (Play Offs)
Relegation - Paraense A2 2027 (Main)