Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno

El Salvador El Salvador

Primera Division 2023/2024
Santa Tecla Logo

Santa Tecla

2 - 4
FT
Municipal Limeno Logo

Municipal Limeno

Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Delgadillo Y.
26' Event
Delgadillo Y.
32' Event
Delgadillo Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2023/2024 game between Santa Tecla and Municipal Limeno finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Municipal Limeno.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

10%
Santa Tecla
20%
Draws
70%
Municipal Limeno
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Municipal Limeno

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Municipal Limeno come out ahead of Santa Tecla on wins alone.
  • 70% — that's where the model lands on Municipal Limeno taking it.
  • Regular Primera Division 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Municipal Limeno have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Santa Tecla Clean Sheet 20%
Municipal Limeno Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santa Tecla Municipal Limeno
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 5 18
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.07 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.8 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.18
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2024 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno
2:4
Jan 14, 2024 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla
1:0
Nov 26, 2023 Primera Division
Santa Tecla vs Municipal Limeno
1:3
Oct 1, 2023 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla
1:1
Apr 17, 2022 Primera Division
Municipal Limeno vs Santa Tecla
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santa Tecla Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mendez A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.04
Avg xA / game 0.68

Municipal Limeno Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgadillo Y.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Alvarado E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.07
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santa Tecla 20 / 100
Municipal Limeno 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santa Tecla Municipal Limeno

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Municipal Limeno Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Tecla scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Municipal Limeno's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 36 matches.

Santa Tecla went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Municipal Limeno
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santa Tecla

(Home)
04 May
Santa Tecla
3 : 4
Jocoro
01 May
Santa Tecla
0 : 4
Metapan
28 Apr
Luis Angel Firpo
2 : 1
Santa Tecla
26 Apr
Santa Tecla
2 : 4
Aguila
21 Apr
Santa Tecla
0 : 0
11 Deportivo
Page 1 of 6

Municipal Limeno

(Away)
27 Sept
Municipal Limeno
1 : 3
FAS
20 Sept
Alianza FC
3 : 2
Municipal Limeno
13 Sept
Fuerte San Francisco
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
10 Sept
Municipal Limeno
0 : 0
Aguila
06 Sept
Atletico Balboa
0 : 2
Municipal Limeno
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Alianza FC 22 13 6 3 39:13 45
2 Luis Angel Firpo 22 13 3 6 47:30 42
3 Municipal Limeno 22 12 3 7 33:25 39
4 Aguila 22 10 8 4 29:18 38
5 FAS 22 8 8 6 26:24 32
6 Platense Municipal 22 9 5 8 26:29 32
7 Metapan 22 9 4 9 24:22 31
8 11 Deportivo 22 8 7 7 22:24 31
9 Dragon 22 9 3 10 27:33 30
10 Santa Tecla 22 5 5 12 26:39 20
11 Fuerte San Francisco 22 4 5 13 19:30 17
12 Jocoro 22 2 3 17 13:44 9
Promotion - Primera Division 2023/2024 (Clausura - Play Offs)