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Stadium Background

Santacruzense vs America SP

Brazil Brazil

Paulista B
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Paulista B tie, finishing 0-0. Extra time or penalties follow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Santacruzense
22%
Draws
60%
America SP
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: America SP

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • America SP have won more games recently than Santacruzense.
  • America SP are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • America SP arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Santacruzense, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 16%
America SP Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santacruzense America SP
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 7 8
Draws 7 12
Losses 16 9
Goals Scored 1.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Paulista B
America SP vs Santacruzense
3:0
Jun 28, 2026 Paulista B
Santacruzense vs America SP
0:0
Apr 2, 2014 Paulista A3
America SP vs Santacruzense
1:3
Mar 8, 2012 Paulista A2
Santacruzense vs America SP
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santacruzense 19 / 100
America SP 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santacruzense America SP

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AME Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: America SP conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Santacruzense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Santacruzense scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Santacruzense VS America SP
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santacruzense

(Home)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

America SP

(Away)
19 Jul
Jose Bonifacio EC
2 : 4
America SP
11 Jul
America SP
0 : 0
Jose Bonifacio EC
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
America SP
1 : 1
Jose Bonifacio EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Independente SP4
Tupa0
Paulinense3
Sao Carlos0
Flamengo SP2
Audax-SP1
Matonense1
Assisense0
Itaqua6
Paulinia FU1
Maua FC3
Uniao Mogi5
Jose Bonifacio EC4
Manthiqueira1
America SP3
Santacruzense0
Quarter-finals
Independente SP3
Paulinense1
Flamengo SP4
Matonense1
Itaqua5
Uniao Mogi1
Jose Bonifacio EC2
America SP4
Semi-finals
Independente SP-
Flamengo SP-
Itaqua-
America SP-
Final
TBD-
TBD-