Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
The Paulista A4 2019 game between Santacruzense and Marilia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marilia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Marilia carry the better recent record into this one.
- 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 19%
Marilia Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santacruzense | Marilia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 16 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.25 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.38 | 1.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 23, 2019 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Marilia
0:1
May 3, 2019 Paulista A4
Marilia vs Santacruzense
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santacruzense 32 / 100
Marilia 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santacruzense Marilia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick MAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Santacruzense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Santacruzense found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).
Marilia has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.
Scoring Trends
Santacruzense VS Marilia
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Santacruzense
(Home) 04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0 Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0 Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
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28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0 America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1 Sao Carlos
31 May
Santacruzense
1 : 2 Matonense
10 May
Santacruzense
1 : 0 Mogi Mirim
03 May
Santacruzense
2 : 5 Independente SP
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Marilia
(Away) 17 Jul
Marilia
1 : 0 Gremio Prudente
26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Marilia
22 Apr
Marilia
2 : 2 Portuguesa Santista
18 Apr
Marilia
3 : 2 XV de Jau
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0 Marilia
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26 Apr
Portuguesa Santista
2 : 0 Marilia
12 Apr
XV de Jau
0 : 0 Marilia
28 Mar
EC Sao Bernardo
2 : 0 Marilia
15 Mar
XV de Jau
1 : 0 Marilia
07 Mar
Rio Branco SP
0 : 2 Marilia
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Fernandopolis | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 20:8 | 25 |
| 2 | Andradina Esporte Clube | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 16:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Jose Bonifacio EC | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 17 |
| 4 | Tupa | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:16 | 17 |
| 5 | Osvaldo Cruz | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12:11 | 15 |
| 6 | Bandeirante | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 9:17 | 11 |
| 7 | America SP | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 7:15 | 8 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Francana | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 29:13 | 24 |
| 2 | Catanduva FC | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 19:13 | 20 |
| 3 | Matonense | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 20:14 | 18 |
| 4 | Catanduvense | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 14:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Inter de Bebedouro | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 17:14 | 17 |
| 6 | Taquaritinga | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:19 | 15 |
| 7 | Sao-Carlense | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7:36 | 4 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rio Branco SP | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15:8 | 24 |
| 2 | XV de Jau | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 22:9 | 24 |
| 3 | Itapirense | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 17:13 | 21 |
| 4 | Independente SP | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 21:11 | 19 |
| 5 | Uniao Barbarense | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:23 | 14 |
| 6 | Jaguariuna | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 7 | Brasilis | 12 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 5:25 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Marilia | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 21:7 | 21 |
| 2 | AA Itarare | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 16:3 | 19 |
| 3 | Assisense | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 11:6 | 16 |
| 4 | Vocem | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 9:7 | 13 |
| 5 | Santacruzense | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 14:14 | 11 |
| 6 | Elosport | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 3:37 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paulista | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 31:10 | 29 |
| 2 | Sao Jose EC | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 22:13 | 23 |
| 3 | Amparo SP | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 31:14 | 21 |
| 4 | Jacarei FC | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 22:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Uniao Mogi | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 18:23 | 14 |
| 6 | Manthiqueira | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 7:20 | 9 |
| 7 | Atletico Mogi | 12 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8:45 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Flamengo SP | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 20:12 | 23 |
| 2 | Uniao Suzano | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 20:16 | 22 |
| 3 | Guarulhos | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 15:8 | 21 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 16:8 | 20 |
| 5 | Maua FC | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 10:13 | 16 |
| 6 | Barcelona SP | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 11:18 | 10 |
| 7 | Jabaquara | 12 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 8:25 | 2 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)