Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santacruzense vs Marilia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A4 2019
Santacruzense Logo

Santacruzense

0 - 1
FT
Marilia Logo

Marilia

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A4 2019 game between Santacruzense and Marilia finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Marilia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Santacruzense
30%
Draws
12%
Marilia
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santacruzense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Marilia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 58% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Santacruzense Clean Sheet 20%
Marilia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santacruzense Marilia
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 7 8
Losses 16 8
Goals Scored 1.03 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 23, 2019 Paulista A4
Santacruzense vs Marilia
0:1
May 3, 2019 Paulista A4
Marilia vs Santacruzense
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santacruzense 31 / 100
Marilia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santacruzense Marilia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santacruzense Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Santacruzense stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Away concern: Marilia has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Santacruzense scored in 53% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santacruzense VS Marilia
2.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santacruzense

(Home)
04 Jul
America SP
3 : 0
Santacruzense
28 Jun
Santacruzense
0 : 0
America SP
20 Jun
Santacruzense
1 : 1
Sao Carlos
13 Jun
Mogi Mirim
1 : 0
Santacruzense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1
Santacruzense
Page 1 of 6

Marilia

(Away)
22 Aug
Gremio Prudente
1 : 0
Marilia
15 Aug
Marilia
0 : 1
Linense
11 Aug
Marilia
1 : 1
Bandeirante
01 Aug
Bandeirante
3 : 1
Marilia
26 Jul
Linense
3 : 1
Marilia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fernandopolis 12 7 4 1 20:8 25
2 Andradina Esporte Clube 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
3 Jose Bonifacio EC 12 5 2 5 12:15 17
4 Tupa 12 5 2 5 15:16 17
5 Osvaldo Cruz 12 4 3 5 12:11 15
6 Bandeirante 12 3 2 7 9:17 11
7 America SP 12 2 2 8 7:15 8
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Francana 12 7 3 2 29:13 24
2 Catanduva FC 12 5 5 2 19:13 20
3 Matonense 12 5 3 4 20:14 18
4 Catanduvense 12 5 2 5 14:14 17
5 Inter de Bebedouro 12 4 5 3 17:14 17
6 Taquaritinga 12 4 3 5 17:19 15
7 Sao-Carlense 12 1 1 10 7:36 4
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rio Branco SP 12 7 3 2 15:8 24
2 XV de Jau 12 7 3 2 22:9 24
3 Itapirense 12 6 3 3 17:13 21
4 Independente SP 12 6 1 5 21:11 19
5 Uniao Barbarense 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Jaguariuna 12 2 3 7 14:23 9
7 Brasilis 12 1 3 8 5:25 6
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marilia 10 6 3 1 21:7 21
2 AA Itarare 10 5 4 1 16:3 19
3 Assisense 10 4 4 2 11:6 16
4 Vocem 10 3 4 3 9:7 13
5 Santacruzense 10 2 5 3 14:14 11
6 Elosport 10 0 0 10 3:37 0
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Paulista 12 9 2 1 31:10 29
2 Sao Jose EC 12 6 5 1 22:13 23
3 Amparo SP 12 5 6 1 31:14 21
4 Jacarei FC 12 4 5 3 22:14 17
5 Uniao Mogi 12 4 2 6 18:23 14
6 Manthiqueira 12 2 3 7 7:20 9
7 Atletico Mogi 12 0 1 11 8:45 1
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flamengo SP 12 7 2 3 20:12 23
2 Uniao Suzano 12 6 4 2 20:16 22
3 Guarulhos 12 6 3 3 15:8 21
4 Mauaense 12 5 5 2 16:8 20
5 Maua FC 12 4 4 4 10:13 16
6 Barcelona SP 12 2 4 6 11:18 10
7 Jabaquara 12 0 2 10 8:25 2
Promotion - Paulista A4 2019 (Second stage)