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Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State

USA USA

USL League Two
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The USL League Two game between Santafe Wanderers and Sunflower State finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santafe Wanderers.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Santafe Wanderers
6%
Draws
4%
Sunflower State
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Santafe Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santafe Wanderers come out ahead of Sunflower State on wins alone.
  • Model gives Santafe Wanderers a 90% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Santafe Wanderers have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 40.8%
Santafe Wanderers Clean Sheet 68%
Sunflower State Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santafe Wanderers Sunflower State
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.25 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State
3:2
Jun 28, 2026 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
0:5
Jun 25, 2026 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State
5:2
Jul 10, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
2:2
Jun 26, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
2:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santafe Wanderers 95 / 100
Sunflower State 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santafe Wanderers Sunflower State

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santafe Wanderers found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (24 games).

Sunflower State's defensive record shows goals conceded in 92% of 24 matches.

Games between these two average 5.20 goals.

Santafe Wanderers has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santafe Wanderers VS Sunflower State
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%