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Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

USA USA

USL League Two 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Sunflower State in this USL League Two 2025 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sunflower State.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

68%
Santafe Wanderers
15%
Draws
17%
Sunflower State
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santafe Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Santafe Wanderers lately — more wins on the board than Sunflower State.
  • Model gives Santafe Wanderers a 68% chance of winning this.
  • Regular USL League Two 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Santafe Wanderers here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.8%
Santafe Wanderers Clean Sheet 20%
Sunflower State Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santafe Wanderers Sunflower State
Matches Played 24 24
Wins 11 8
Draws 3 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 2.21 1.63
Goals Conceded 2.04 2.42
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State
3:2
Jun 28, 2026 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
0:5
Jun 25, 2026 USL League Two
Santafe Wanderers vs Sunflower State
5:2
Jul 10, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
2:2
Jun 26, 2025 USL League Two
Sunflower State vs Santafe Wanderers
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santafe Wanderers 85 / 100
Sunflower State 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santafe Wanderers Sunflower State

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santafe Wanderers Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santafe Wanderers scored in 83% of their last 24 outings.

Sunflower State has conceded goals in 92% of their last 24 outings.

These sides typically produce 5.20 goals when they meet.

Santafe Wanderers went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santafe Wanderers VS Sunflower State
2.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 2.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santafe Wanderers

(Home)
11 Jul
Santafe Wanderers
3 : 2
Sunflower State
04 Jul
Menace
0 : 3
Santafe Wanderers
02 Jul
Santafe Wanderers
4 : 5
Springfield FC
28 Jun
Sunflower State
0 : 5
Santafe Wanderers
25 Jun
Santafe Wanderers
5 : 2
Sunflower State
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Sunflower State

(Away)
11 Jul
Santafe Wanderers
3 : 2
Sunflower State
08 Jul
Sunflower State
1 : 3
Peoria IL
01 Jul
Sunflower State
2 : 1
Menace
28 Jun
Sunflower State
0 : 5
Santafe Wanderers
25 Jun
Santafe Wanderers
5 : 2
Sunflower State
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