Sport Picks

Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin

Santamarina

0 - 2

Guillermo Brown

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Gomez J.

26'

Sub

Vallejos I. In: Hang F.

Out: Vallejos I.

43'

Diaz R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guillermo Brown in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guillermo Brown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Santamarina

28%

Draws

22%

Guillermo Brown

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Santamarina

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Form's been kind to Guillermo Brown lately — more wins on the board than Santamarina.
Model gives Santamarina a 50% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 24%

Over 3.5 Goals 13%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.6%

Santamarina Clean Sheet 68%

Guillermo Brown Clean Sheet 21%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santamarina	Guillermo Brown
Matches Played	30	32
Wins	6	12
Draws	12	8
Losses	12	12
Goals Scored	0.38	1
Goals Conceded	1.25	0.88
Expected Goals (xG)	0.38	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal

Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown

Possession: 57% - 54% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal

Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Federal

Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina

Possession: 45% - 41% Cards: 2 - 1

4:1

Jul 13, 2025 Torneo Federal

Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 2 - 4

2:2

May 11, 2025 Torneo Federal

Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina

Possession: 49% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santamarina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.29

Avg xA / game 0.19

Guillermo Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Mera B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santamarina 59 / 100

Guillermo Brown 24 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santamarina Guillermo Brown

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SAN Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Solid form: Santamarina remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Guillermo Brown's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santamarina found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Santamarina VS Guillermo Brown

0.38 Goals Scored 1

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.88

50% Over 1.5 50%

25% Over 2.5 13%

13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sportivo Belgrano	17	7	8	2	19:7	29
2	Douglas Haig	17	8	4	5	20:14	28
3	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	17	7	5	5	15:10	26
4	Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo	17	7	5	5	22:18	26
5	9 de Julio Rafaela	17	7	4	6	27:25	25
6	Sportivo Las Parejas	17	5	8	4	11:12	23
7	Atletico Escobar	17	6	3	8	19:27	21
8	Independiente Chivilcoy	17	4	6	7	14:21	18
9	Gimnasia E.R.	17	4	5	8	12:17	17
10	El Linqueno	17	4	4	9	13:21	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	San Martin Formosa	15	8	3	4	24:19	27
2	Bartolome Mitre	15	7	5	3	13:6	26
3	Sol de America	15	8	2	5	18:12	26
4	Sarmiento de La Banda	15	7	3	5	16:14	24
5	Juventud Antoniana	15	6	4	5	16:11	22
6	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	21:26	19
7	Boca Unidos	15	5	3	7	19:22	18
8	Tucuman Central	15	5	1	9	13:18	16
9	Sarmiento Resistencia	15	2	6	7	10:22	12

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	19:15	25
2	Argentino MM	15	5	7	3	15:11	22
3	Biblioteca Atenas	15	6	4	5	12:13	22
4	Huracan Las Heras	15	6	4	5	11:13	22
5	Fundacion Amigos	15	4	8	3	17:14	20
6	Costa Brava	15	4	6	5	12:12	18
7	San Martin Mendoza	15	4	6	5	10:14	18
8	Juventud U.U.	15	3	7	5	10:10	16
9	Deportivo Rincon	15	4	4	7	12:16	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	15	7	7	1	11:4	28
2	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	19:7	27
3	Kimberley	15	6	7	2	14:8	25
4	Villa Mitre	15	5	7	3	11:5	22
5	Germinal	15	4	6	5	7:12	18
6	Sol de Mayo	15	4	5	6	12:15	17
7	Guillermo Brown	15	3	5	7	11:20	14
8	Santamarina	15	2	7	6	9:15	13
9	Circulo Deportivo	15	2	6	7	7:15	12