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Stadium Background

Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Torneo Federal Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin, Tandil
Our Tip

Match Events

17'
Gomez J.
26'
Sub
Vallejos I. In: Hang F.
Out: Vallejos I.
43'
Diaz R.

AI Match Summary

Guillermo Brown in this Torneo Federal matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guillermo Brown.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Santamarina
20%
Draws
58%
Guillermo Brown
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guillermo Brown

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guillermo Brown lately — more wins on the board than Santamarina.
  • Model gives Guillermo Brown a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 24%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 20%
Guillermo Brown Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santamarina Guillermo Brown
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 6 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 0.7 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.37 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Torneo Federal
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina
1:0
May 24, 2026 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown
0:2
Mar 22, 2026 Torneo Federal
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina
2:2
Aug 23, 2025 Torneo Federal
Guillermo Brown vs Santamarina
4:1
Jul 13, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Guillermo Brown
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santamarina Compare

Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Guillermo Brown Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivero M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mera B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santamarina 28 / 100
Guillermo Brown 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santamarina Guillermo Brown

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guillermo Brown Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Defensive concern: Guillermo Brown conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

Santamarina's goal record stands at 40% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Santamarina remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santamarina VS Guillermo Brown
0.63 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santamarina

(Home)
20 Sept
Deportivo Rincon
3 : 0
Santamarina
13 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 3
Costa Brava
06 Sept
Juventud U.U.
1 : 0
Santamarina
30 Aug
Santamarina
2 : 1
Circulo Deportivo
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 6

Guillermo Brown

(Away)
20 Sept
Guillermo Brown
0 : 0
Fundacion Amigos
13 Sept
Germinal
1 : 0
Guillermo Brown
06 Sept
Guillermo Brown
1 : 1
San Martin Mendoza
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
0 : 2
Guillermo Brown
23 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0
Santamarina
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Douglas Haig 18 9 4 5 22:15 31
2 Sportivo Belgrano 18 7 9 2 21:9 30
3 Gimnasia Chivilcoy 18 7 6 5 17:12 27
4 Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo 18 7 6 5 24:20 27
5 9 de Julio Rafaela 18 7 4 7 28:27 25
6 Sportivo Las Parejas 18 5 9 4 12:13 24
7 Atletico Escobar 18 6 4 8 21:29 22
8 Independiente Chivilcoy 18 4 7 7 15:22 19
9 El Linqueno 18 5 4 9 14:21 19
10 Gimnasia E.R. 18 4 5 9 12:18 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 San Martin Formosa 16 9 3 4 25:19 30
2 Bartolome Mitre 16 7 5 4 13:7 26
3 Sol de America 16 8 2 6 19:14 26
4 Sarmiento de La Banda 16 7 4 5 17:15 25
5 Juventud Antoniana 16 7 4 5 19:11 25
6 Defensores de Vilelas 16 6 1 9 21:26 19
7 Boca Unidos 16 5 3 8 19:25 18
8 Tucuman Central 16 5 2 9 14:19 17
9 Sarmiento Resistencia 16 3 6 7 12:23 15
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cipolletti 16 7 4 5 19:15 25
2 Argentino MM 16 5 8 3 16:12 23
3 Biblioteca Atenas 16 6 5 5 12:13 23
4 Huracan Las Heras 16 6 5 5 11:13 23
5 Fundacion Amigos 16 4 9 3 17:14 21
6 Deportivo Rincon 16 5 4 7 13:16 19
7 San Martin Mendoza 16 4 7 5 11:15 19
8 Costa Brava 16 4 6 6 12:13 18
9 Juventud U.U. 16 3 8 5 10:10 17
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olimpo Bahia Blanca 16 8 7 1 13:4 31
2 Alvarado 16 7 6 3 19:7 27
3 Kimberley 16 6 8 2 15:9 26
4 Villa Mitre 16 5 8 3 14:8 23
5 Germinal 16 4 6 6 7:14 18
6 Sol de Mayo 16 4 6 6 15:18 18
7 Guillermo Brown 16 4 5 7 13:20 17
8 Santamarina 16 2 7 7 9:17 13
9 Circulo Deportivo 16 2 7 7 8:16 13
Promotion - Torneo Federal (Winners stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)
Relegation - Torneo Federal (Losers stage)