Sport Picks
Santamarina vs Sportivo Estudiantes
Argentina
Torneo Federal 2025 Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin, Tandil 
Match Events
22'
22'
Dezi L.
27'
27'
Soda P.
'
'
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Torneo Federal 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
22%
28%
50%
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sportivo Estudiantes
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
76%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Sportivo Estudiantes lately — more wins on the board than Santamarina.
- Model gives Sportivo Estudiantes a 50% chance of winning this.
- Regular Torneo Federal 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Santamarina Clean Sheet 21%
Sportivo Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santamarina | Sportivo Estudiantes |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 5 | 7 |
| Draws | 12 | 10 |
| Losses | 12 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.13 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.75 | 0.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.75 | 0.50 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 14, 2025 Torneo Federal
Santamarina vs Sportivo Estudiantes
1:1
Feb 3, 2018 Primera Nacional
Santamarina vs Sportivo Estudiantes
0:0
Jul 12, 2017 Primera Nacional
Santamarina vs Sportivo Estudiantes
1:0
Dec 15, 2016 Primera Nacional
Sportivo Estudiantes vs Santamarina
0:1
Apr 30, 2016 Primera Nacional
Sportivo Estudiantes vs Santamarina
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Santamarina Compare
Top Goalscorer Dezi L.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Sportivo Estudiantes Compare
Top Goalscorer Soda P.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santamarina 24 / 100
Sportivo Estudiantes 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santamarina Sportivo Estudiantes
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SPO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Sportivo Estudiantes has conceded goals in 77% of their last 30 outings.
Attacking prowess: Santamarina scored in 45% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.20 goals per match.
Solid form: Santamarina remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Santamarina VS Sportivo Estudiantes
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Santamarina
(Home) 26 Jul
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2 : 0 Santamarina
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
28 Jun
Germinal
1 : 0 Santamarina
20 Jun
Santamarina
0 : 2 Villa Mitre
14 Jun
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 0 Santamarina
Page 1 of 6
11 Jul
Santamarina
0 : 0 Alvarado
20 Jun
Santamarina
0 : 2 Villa Mitre
07 Jun
Santamarina
1 : 0 Kimberley
24 May
Santamarina
0 : 2 Guillermo Brown
17 May
Santamarina
0 : 0 Olimpo Bahia Blanca
Page 1 of 3
Sportivo Estudiantes
(Away) 14 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 1 Sportivo Estudiantes
07 Sept
Sportivo Estudiantes
2 : 0 Germinal
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
2 : 1 Sportivo Estudiantes
23 Aug
Sportivo Estudiantes
2 : 1 Gutierrez Mendoza
17 Aug
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0 Sportivo Estudiantes
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
Santamarina
1 : 1 Sportivo Estudiantes
30 Aug
Sol de Mayo
2 : 1 Sportivo Estudiantes
17 Aug
Juventud U.U.
0 : 0 Sportivo Estudiantes
03 Aug
Guillermo Brown
1 : 0 Sportivo Estudiantes
20 Jul
Circulo Deportivo
0 : 0 Sportivo Estudiantes
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Guillermo Brown | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 15:6 | 20 |
| 2 | Germinal | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 9:7 | 16 |
| 3 | San Martin Mendoza | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Sol de Mayo | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 12:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Juventud U.U. | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 8:4 | 14 |
| 6 | Circulo Deportivo | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 7:4 | 13 |
| 7 | Huracan Las Heras | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | 11 |
| 8 | Santamarina | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:11 | 11 |
| 9 | Sportivo Estudiantes | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:8 | 9 |
| 10 | Gutierrez Mendoza | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 3:18 | 0 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Unidos | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 15:6 | 18 |
| 2 | Bartolome Mitre | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:7 | 16 |
| 3 | Sarmiento Resistencia | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 13:12 | 16 |
| 4 | Sportivo Las Parejas | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 11:10 | 16 |
| 5 | El Linqueno | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11:6 | 14 |
| 6 | Sol de America | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 11:8 | 13 |
| 7 | Defensores Belgrano Villa Ramallo | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:13 | 12 |
| 8 | Gimnasia E.R. | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | 11 |
| 9 | Ben Hur | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 10:16 | 10 |
| 10 | Crucero del Norte | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8:22 | 2 |
Promotion - Torneo Federal 2025 (Promotion - Play Offs)
