Sport Picks
Santana vs Estrela Calheta - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Taça de Portugal 2011/2012 
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-1, with Estrela Calheta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
20%
32%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santana
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Santana come out ahead of Estrela Calheta on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Santana's way, sitting at 42%.
- Santana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Estrela Calheta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
Santana Clean Sheet 20%
Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santana | Estrela Calheta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 12 | 13 |
| Wins | 5 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.42 | 0.69 |
| Goals Conceded | 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.81 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal
Santana vs Estrela Calheta
0:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Santana 42 / 100
Estrela Calheta 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Santana Estrela Calheta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Estrela Calheta let in goals in 77% of their last 13 matches.
Difficult form: Estrela Calheta registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Santana scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.
Games between these two average 1.00 goals.
Scoring Trends
Santana VS Estrela Calheta
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Santana
(Home) 28 Aug
Santana
0 : 1 Estrela Calheta
05 Sept
SC Farense
3 : 0 Santana
12 Sept
Santana
2 : 5 Camacha
29 Aug
Santana
1 : 0 Porto da Cruz
09 Nov
Leixoes
3 : 0 Santana
Page 1 of 3
28 Aug
Santana
0 : 1 Estrela Calheta
12 Sept
Santana
2 : 5 Camacha
29 Aug
Santana
1 : 0 Porto da Cruz
19 Oct
Santana
1 : 0 Odivelas FC
14 Sept
Santana
7 : 0 SL Cartaxo
Page 1 of 2
Estrela Calheta
(Away) 04 Oct
Castro Daire
3 : 0 Estrela Calheta
27 Sept
Estrela Calheta
2 : 2 Cinfaes
20 Sept
Estrela Calheta
1 : 3 SC Vianense
13 Sept
Estrela Calheta
0 : 3 UD Ovarense
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0 Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 3
04 Oct
Castro Daire
3 : 0 Estrela Calheta
15 Aug
Machico
0 : 0 Estrela Calheta
29 Jul
Maritimo
1 : 1 Estrela Calheta
21 Sept
FC Alpendorada
7 : 1 Estrela Calheta
11 Sept
Aljustrelense
2 : 0 Estrela Calheta
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/128-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
U. Madeira -
TBD -
Cruzado Canicense 0
Famalicao 3
1º Dezembro -
TBD -
Louletano 0
Operario 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Braga -
Vizela 4
Despertar 1
Marinhense 0
AA Avanca 3
Fabril do Barreiro 2
Riachense 0
TBD -
AD Fafe -
Trofense -
TBD -
Uniao Montemor 2
CDR Quarteirense 3
Esposende 3
AD Valecambrense 2
TBD -
BSAD -
Benfica -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
GD Sourense 2
Melgacense 1
TBD -
Portimonense -
Macedo de Cavaleiros 4
CF Fao 0
TBD -
Atletico CP -
Freamunde -
TBD -
TBD -
Naval -
Juv. Evora 2
Messinense 1
CF Canical 0
Carregado 4
Serzedelo 1
FC Alpendorada 0
TBD -
Esperanca de Lagos -
Beira Mar -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Moreirense -
TBD -
Maria de Fonte 1
SB Castelo Branco 2
Pinhalnovense -
TBD -
Ribeirao 0
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes -
TBD -
TBD -
Oliveira de Frades -
Lagoa 2
Aguia 1
Aliados Lordelo 1
AD Lousada 2
Rio Ave -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Mafra -
TBD -
Alba 1
Sousense 3
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Vila Real 1
1º de Maio Funchal 0
Bustelo 0
Torreense 3
Tirsense -
TBD -
TBD -
Santa Clara -
Beneditense 3
SC Praiense 1
TBD -
Sampedrense -
SC Espinho 3
FC Madalena 1
CU Micaelense 0
Camara de Lobos 3
GD Tourizense 2
Tocha 1
TBD -
Sao Joao de Ver -
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 1
FC Cesarense 0
Senhorim 0
Chaves 7
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Oliveirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Academico Viseu -
Paredes 5
Montijo 1
GD Braganca 2
SC Pombal 3
Anadia 1
SC Lusitania 0
Santiago FC 0
Amarante FC 6
Electrico FC 4
AD Limianos 0
Alcobaca 4
Tondela 5
Gondomar -
TBD -
TBD -
Sesimbra -
Sporting Ideal 2
Fayal 0
TBD -
GD Joane -
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sertanense 1
Nogueirense 0
Oliveira Hospital 0
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril -
TBD -
Porto da Cruz 1
Sacavenense 2
Bairro da Argentina 3
Atletico SC 2
AD Oliveirense 2
Vila Mea 3
Merelinense -
TBD -
TBD -
SC Angrense -
Rebordosa 2
Oliv. Bairro 1
TBD -
Penafiel -
GD Alcochetense 6
Bombarralense 2
Prainha 0
Penalva do Castelo 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiria -
FC Pampilhosa 3
Fatima 0
GD Peniche 0
FC Amares 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olhanense -
Aves -
TBD -
Sintrense 0
Estrela Vendas Novas 2
Machico 2
Varzim 1
Real SC 0
Infesta 2
Moura AC 2
Grijo 0
SC Vianense 1
Cinfaes 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Covilha -
TBD -
SC Farense 0
Caldas SC 3
Marinhas -
TBD -
Guadalupe 0
Lamego 1
CD Portosantense 2
C.F. Benfica 1
Cerveira 0
Casa Pia 2
Pescadores Caparica 1
Meda 0
Camacha 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes -
TBD -
TBD -
Arouca -
Estrela Calheta 1
Santana 0
CF Andorinha 0
Aljustrelense 2
Monsanto -
TBD -
Boavista Sao Mateus 0
Redondense 1
Padroense 2
O Elvas CAD 1
FC Crato 0
Santa Maria FC 6
FC Porto -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leca 2
Vilaverdense FC 0
TBD -
Pero Pinheiro -
Oriental 2
SL Cartaxo 1
TBD -
Oeiras -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Academica -
1/64-finals
Sporting CP -
TBD -
U. Madeira 0
Famalicao 1
1º Dezembro 2
Operario 1
TBD -
Braga -
Vizela 2
AA Avanca 0
Fabril do Barreiro 0
AD Fafe 1
Trofense 1
CDR Quarteirense 0
Esposende 1
BSAD 5
Benfica -
TBD -
GD Sourense 0
Portimonense 3
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Atletico CP 0
Freamunde 1
Naval 3
Juv. Evora 2
Carregado 1
Serzedelo 0
Esperanca de Lagos 1
Beira Mar -
TBD -
TBD -
Maritimo -
Moreirense 3
SB Castelo Branco 2
Pinhalnovense 0
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes 3
Oliveira de Frades 1
Lagoa 1
AD Lousada 2
Rio Ave -
TBD -
Mafra 1
Sousense 2
Gil Vicente -
TBD -
SC Vila Real 0
Torreense 2
Tirsense 2
Santa Clara 1
Beneditense 0
Sampedrense 1
SC Espinho 4
Camara de Lobos 0
GD Tourizense 1
Sao Joao de Ver 4
Pacos Ferreira -
TBD -
Sanjoanense 0
Chaves 3
Feirense -
TBD -
TBD -
Nacional -
Oliveirense 5
Academico Viseu 2
Paredes 0
SC Pombal 2
Anadia 3
Amarante FC 2
Electrico FC 0
Tondela 1
Gondomar 1
Sesimbra 0
Sporting Ideal 2
GD Joane 3
Vitoria Setubal -
TBD -
Sertanense 2
SC Mirandela 4
Estoril 2
Sacavenense 0
Bairro da Argentina 1
Vila Mea 2
Merelinense 4
SC Angrense 3
Rebordosa 0
Penafiel 6
GD Alcochetense 3
Penalva do Castelo 2
TBD -
Leiria -
FC Pampilhosa 2
FC Amares 1
TBD -
Olhanense -
Aves 2
Estrela Vendas Novas 0
Machico 1
Infesta 2
Moura AC 2
Cinfaes 1
TBD -
Vitoria Guimaraes -
Covilha 4
Caldas SC 0
Marinhas 1
Lamego 2
CD Portosantense 1
Casa Pia 0
Pescadores Caparica 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 2
Arouca 1
Estrela Calheta 0
Aljustrelense 2
Monsanto 5
Redondense 1
Padroense 0
Santa Maria FC 1
FC Porto -
TBD -
Leca 0
Pero Pinheiro 2
Oriental 1
Oeiras 0
TBD -
Academica -
1/32-finals
Sporting CP 2
Famalicao 0
1º Dezembro 1
Braga 3
Vizela 3
AD Fafe 2
Trofense 1
BSAD 2
Benfica 2
Portimonense 0
Macedo de Cavaleiros 1
Naval 2
Juv. Evora 2
Esperanca de Lagos 0
Beira Mar 0
Maritimo 1
Moreirense 3
AD Pontassolense 1
Coimbroes 0
AD Lousada 1
Rio Ave 5
Sousense 2
Gil Vicente 0
Torreense 1
Tirsense 3
Sampedrense 1
SC Espinho 1
Sao Joao de Ver 2
Pacos Ferreira 1
Chaves 0
Feirense 0
Nacional 1
Oliveirense 7
SC Pombal 1
Anadia 2
Tondela 3
Gondomar 1
GD Joane 0
Vitoria Setubal 0
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril 3
Vila Mea 1
Merelinense 2
Penafiel 3
GD Alcochetense 2
Leiria 1
FC Pampilhosa 0
Olhanense 3
Aves 4
Infesta 0
Moura AC 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 2
Covilha 4
Lamego 1
CD Portosantense 0
CD Ribeira Brava 2
Leixoes 1
Aljustrelense 0
Monsanto 1
Santa Maria FC 2
FC Porto 8
Pero Pinheiro 0
Oriental 0
Academica 1
1/16-finals
Sporting CP 2
Braga 0
Vizela 0
BSAD 2
Benfica 1
Naval 0
Juv. Evora 0
Maritimo 1
Moreirense 7
AD Lousada 1
Rio Ave 2
Torreense 3
Tirsense 3
Sao Joao de Ver 0
Pacos Ferreira 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 1
Tondela 0
Gondomar 1
SC Mirandela 2
Estoril 2
Penafiel 1
GD Alcochetense 0
Olhanense 1
Aves 1
Vitoria Guimaraes 0
Covilha 0
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 1
Santa Maria FC 0
FC Porto 0
Academica 3
1/8-finals
Sporting CP 2
BSAD 0
Benfica 1
Maritimo 2
Moreirense 2
Torreense 1
Tirsense 0
Nacional 1
Oliveirense 2
SC Mirandela 1
Estoril 2
Olhanense 3
Aves 2
CD Ribeira Brava 1
Leixoes 2
Academica 5
Quarter-finals
Sporting CP 3
Maritimo 0
Moreirense 2
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 2
Olhanense 1
Aves 2
Academica 3
Semi-finals
Sporting CP 5
Nacional 3
Oliveirense 2
Academica 3
Final
Sporting CP 0
Academica 1
