Sport Picks

Portugal

Taça de Portugal 2011/2012

Santana

Sun, Aug 28, 2011

0 - 1

03:00 PM

Estrela Calheta

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Estrela Calheta advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Santana

20%

Draws

50%

Estrela Calheta

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Estrela Calheta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and Santana come out ahead of Estrela Calheta on wins alone.
Win probability leans Santana's way, sitting at 42%.
Santana have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Estrela Calheta, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%

Santana Clean Sheet 18%

Estrela Calheta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santana	Estrela Calheta
Matches Played	12	9
Wins	5	2
Draws	1	2
Losses	6	5
Goals Scored	1.42	0.67
Goals Conceded	2	1.67
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2011 Taça de Portugal

Santana vs Estrela Calheta

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santana 41 / 100

Estrela Calheta 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santana Estrela Calheta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Estrela Calheta let in goals in 67% of their last 9 matches.

Attacking prowess: Santana scored in 58% of their last 12 outings.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Santana went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Santana VS Estrela Calheta

1.75 Goals Scored 0.75

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.88

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 25%

38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santana

(Home)

28 Aug

Santana

0 : 1

Estrela Calheta

05 Sept

SC Farense

3 : 0

Santana

12 Sept

Santana

2 : 5

Camacha

29 Aug

Santana

1 : 0

Porto da Cruz

09 Nov

Leixoes

3 : 0

Santana

Page 1 of 3

Estrela Calheta

(Away)

15 Aug

Machico

0 : 0

Estrela Calheta

29 Jul

Maritimo

1 : 1

Estrela Calheta

21 Sept

FC Alpendorada

7 : 1

Estrela Calheta

11 Sept

Aljustrelense

2 : 0

Estrela Calheta

28 Aug

Santana

0 : 1

Estrela Calheta

Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira -

TBD -

Cruzado Canicense 0

Famalicao 3

1º Dezembro -

TBD -

Louletano 0

Operario 2

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 4

Despertar 1

Marinhense 0

AA Avanca 3

Fabril do Barreiro 2

Riachense 0

TBD -

AD Fafe -

Trofense -

TBD -

Uniao Montemor 2

CDR Quarteirense 3

Esposende 3

AD Valecambrense 2

TBD -

BSAD -

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 2

Melgacense 1

TBD -

Portimonense -

Macedo de Cavaleiros 4

CF Fao 0

TBD -

Atletico CP -

Freamunde -

TBD -

Naval -

Juv. Evora 2

Messinense 1

CF Canical 0

Carregado 4

Serzedelo 1

FC Alpendorada 0

TBD -

Esperanca de Lagos -

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense -

TBD -

Maria de Fonte 1

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense -

TBD -

Ribeirao 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes -

TBD -

Oliveira de Frades -

Lagoa 2

Aguia 1

Aliados Lordelo 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra -

TBD -

Alba 1

Sousense 3

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 1

1º de Maio Funchal 0

Bustelo 0

Torreense 3

Tirsense -

TBD -

Santa Clara -

Beneditense 3

SC Praiense 1

TBD -

Sampedrense -

SC Espinho 3

FC Madalena 1

CU Micaelense 0

Camara de Lobos 3

GD Tourizense 2

Tocha 1

TBD -

Sao Joao de Ver -

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 1

FC Cesarense 0

Senhorim 0

Chaves 7

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense -

TBD -

Academico Viseu -

Paredes 5

Montijo 1

GD Braganca 2

SC Pombal 3

Anadia 1

SC Lusitania 0

Santiago FC 0

Amarante FC 6

Electrico FC 4

AD Limianos 0

Alcobaca 4

Tondela 5

Gondomar -

TBD -

Sesimbra -

Sporting Ideal 2

Fayal 0

TBD -

GD Joane -

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 1

Nogueirense 0

Oliveira Hospital 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril -

TBD -

Porto da Cruz 1

Sacavenense 2

Bairro da Argentina 3

Atletico SC 2

AD Oliveirense 2

Vila Mea 3

Merelinense -

TBD -

SC Angrense -

Rebordosa 2

Oliv. Bairro 1

TBD -

Penafiel -

GD Alcochetense 6

Bombarralense 2

Prainha 0

Penalva do Castelo 3

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 3

Fatima 0

GD Peniche 0

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves -

TBD -

Sintrense 0

Estrela Vendas Novas 2

Machico 2

Varzim 1

Real SC 0

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Grijo 0

SC Vianense 1

Cinfaes 2

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha -

TBD -

SC Farense 0

Caldas SC 3

Marinhas -

TBD -

Guadalupe 0

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 2

C.F. Benfica 1

Cerveira 0

Casa Pia 2

Pescadores Caparica 1

Meda 0

Camacha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes -

TBD -

Arouca -

Estrela Calheta 1

Santana 0

CF Andorinha 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto -

TBD -

Boavista Sao Mateus 0

Redondense 1

Padroense 2

O Elvas CAD 1

FC Crato 0

Santa Maria FC 6

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 2

Vilaverdense FC 0

TBD -

Pero Pinheiro -

Oriental 2

SL Cartaxo 1

TBD -

Oeiras -

TBD -

Academica -

1/64-finals

Sporting CP -

TBD -

U. Madeira 0

Famalicao 1

1º Dezembro 2

Operario 1

TBD -

Braga -

Vizela 2

AA Avanca 0

Fabril do Barreiro 0

AD Fafe 1

Trofense 1

CDR Quarteirense 0

Esposende 1

BSAD 5

Benfica -

TBD -

GD Sourense 0

Portimonense 3

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Atletico CP 0

Freamunde 1

Naval 3

Juv. Evora 2

Carregado 1

Serzedelo 0

Esperanca de Lagos 1

Beira Mar -

TBD -

Maritimo -

Moreirense 3

SB Castelo Branco 2

Pinhalnovense 0

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 3

Oliveira de Frades 1

Lagoa 1

AD Lousada 2

Rio Ave -

TBD -

Mafra 1

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente -

TBD -

SC Vila Real 0

Torreense 2

Tirsense 2

Santa Clara 1

Beneditense 0

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 4

Camara de Lobos 0

GD Tourizense 1

Sao Joao de Ver 4

Pacos Ferreira -

TBD -

Sanjoanense 0

Chaves 3

Feirense -

TBD -

Nacional -

Oliveirense 5

Academico Viseu 2

Paredes 0

SC Pombal 2

Anadia 3

Amarante FC 2

Electrico FC 0

Tondela 1

Gondomar 1

Sesimbra 0

Sporting Ideal 2

GD Joane 3

Vitoria Setubal -

TBD -

Sertanense 2

SC Mirandela 4

Estoril 2

Sacavenense 0

Bairro da Argentina 1

Vila Mea 2

Merelinense 4

SC Angrense 3

Rebordosa 0

Penafiel 6

GD Alcochetense 3

Penalva do Castelo 2

TBD -

Leiria -

FC Pampilhosa 2

FC Amares 1

TBD -

Olhanense -

Aves 2

Estrela Vendas Novas 0

Machico 1

Infesta 2

Moura AC 2

Cinfaes 1

TBD -

Vitoria Guimaraes -

Covilha 4

Caldas SC 0

Marinhas 1

Lamego 2

CD Portosantense 1

Casa Pia 0

Pescadores Caparica 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Arouca 1

Estrela Calheta 0

Aljustrelense 2

Monsanto 5

Redondense 1

Padroense 0

Santa Maria FC 1

FC Porto -

TBD -

Leca 0

Pero Pinheiro 2

Oriental 1

Oeiras 0

TBD -

Academica -

1/32-finals

Sporting CP 2

Famalicao 0

1º Dezembro 1

Braga 3

Vizela 3

AD Fafe 2

Trofense 1

BSAD 2

Benfica 2

Portimonense 0

Macedo de Cavaleiros 1

Naval 2

Juv. Evora 2

Esperanca de Lagos 0

Beira Mar 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 3

AD Pontassolense 1

Coimbroes 0

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 5

Sousense 2

Gil Vicente 0

Torreense 1

Tirsense 3

Sampedrense 1

SC Espinho 1

Sao Joao de Ver 2

Pacos Ferreira 1

Chaves 0

Feirense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 7

SC Pombal 1

Anadia 2

Tondela 3

Gondomar 1

GD Joane 0

Vitoria Setubal 0

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 3

Vila Mea 1

Merelinense 2

Penafiel 3

GD Alcochetense 2

Leiria 1

FC Pampilhosa 0

Olhanense 3

Aves 4

Infesta 0

Moura AC 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 2

Covilha 4

Lamego 1

CD Portosantense 0

CD Ribeira Brava 2

Leixoes 1

Aljustrelense 0

Monsanto 1

Santa Maria FC 2

FC Porto 8

Pero Pinheiro 0

Oriental 0

Academica 1

1/16-finals

Sporting CP 2

Braga 0

Vizela 0

BSAD 2

Benfica 1

Naval 0

Juv. Evora 0

Maritimo 1

Moreirense 7

AD Lousada 1

Rio Ave 2

Torreense 3

Tirsense 3

Sao Joao de Ver 0

Pacos Ferreira 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 1

Tondela 0

Gondomar 1

SC Mirandela 2

Estoril 2

Penafiel 1

GD Alcochetense 0

Olhanense 1

Aves 1

Vitoria Guimaraes 0

Covilha 0

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 1

Santa Maria FC 0

FC Porto 0

Academica 3

1/8-finals

Sporting CP 2

BSAD 0

Benfica 1

Maritimo 2

Moreirense 2

Torreense 1

Tirsense 0

Nacional 1

Oliveirense 2

SC Mirandela 1

Estoril 2

Olhanense 3

Aves 2

CD Ribeira Brava 1

Leixoes 2

Academica 5

Quarter-finals

Sporting CP 3

Maritimo 0

Moreirense 2

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Olhanense 1

Aves 2

Academica 3

Semi-finals

Sporting CP 5

Nacional 3

Oliveirense 2

Academica 3

Final

Sporting CP 0

Academica 1

Santana vs Estrela Calheta

Portugal

Santana

Estrela Calheta

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Santana

Estrela Calheta

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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