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Sant'Angelo vs Sanremese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Coppa Italia Serie D
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
01:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Coppa Italia Serie D. This one's hard to separate. Sanremese have shipped 0.9 goals a game lately, while Sant'Angelo have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.28. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 1.19 vs 1.44, favoring Sanremese. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Sant'Angelo
20%
Draws
40%
Sanremese
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sanremese lately — more wins on the board than Sant'Angelo.
  • Win probability leans Sanremese's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Sanremese arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 16%
Sanremese Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Sant'Angelo Sanremese
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 15
Draws 9 6
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.28 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Sant'Angelo 28 / 100
Sanremese 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Sant'Angelo Sanremese

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sanremese Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sant'Angelo scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Sant'Angelo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Sanremese has conceded goals in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Difficult form: Sanremese registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Sant'Angelo VS Sanremese
1.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Sant'Angelo

(Home)
07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3
Sant'Angelo
04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2
Castellanzese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0
Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0
Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2
Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6

Sanremese

(Away)
07 Oct
Sanremese
5 : 2
Millesimo
04 Oct
Sanremese
3 : 0
Bra
27 Sept
Gozzano
2 : 1
Sanremese
20 Sept
Sanremese
2 : 2
Saluzzo
16 Sept
Chisola
1 : 0
Sanremese
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
AS Biellese 3
Alessandria 2
Valenzana 3
Saluzzo 2
Villa Valle 2
Tritium 1
Brusaporto 2
Chievo 1
Real Calepina 0
AC Leon 2
Varese FC 2
Pro Patria 5
Pavia 1
Sant'Angelo 3
Sanremese 5
Millesimo 2
Cjarlins Muzane 2
Brian Lignano 1
Este 0
Caldiero Terme 2
Mestre 0
Schio 2
Clodiense 2
Campodarsego 1
Lentigione 1
Piacenza 3
Sasso Marconi 1
Cittadella Vis Modena 0
Sestri Levante 1
Pistoiese 0
Seravezza Pozzi 1
Lucchese 2
Terranuova Traiana 0
Prato 3
Ternana -
Recanatese -
Ancona 2
Fossombrone 1
Flaminia 0
Siena 3
Unipomezia 3
Teramo 4
Latte Dolce 3
Sarrabus Ogliastra 0
Aquila Calcio 5
Termoli 2
Paganese 1
Real Normanna 2
Certosa V. Campagnano 4
Albalonga 1
Nocerina 1
Turris 2
Fidelis Andria 2
Bisceglie 1
Virtus Francavilla 3
Gravina 0
Lamezia 2
Gelbison 3
Igea Virtus 3
Reggina 2
Calcio Avola 0
ASD Modica Calcio 4
Trapani 1
Licata 2
1/16-finals
AS Biellese -
Valenzana -
Villa Valle -
Brusaporto -
AC Leon -
Pro Patria -
Sant'Angelo -
Sanremese -
Cjarlins Muzane -
Caldiero Terme -
Schio -
Clodiense -
Piacenza -
Sasso Marconi -
Sestri Levante -
Lucchese -
Prato -
TBD -
Ancona -
Siena -
Teramo -
Latte Dolce -
Aquila Calcio -
Real Normanna -
Certosa V. Campagnano -
Turris -
Fidelis Andria -
Virtus Francavilla -
Gelbison -
Igea Virtus -
ASD Modica Calcio -
Licata -
1/8-finals
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Quarter-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
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TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Semi-finals
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Final
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TBD -