Sport Picks
Match Events
30'
30'
Confalonieri S.
80'
80'
Mascanzoni M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D game between Sant'Angelo and SCD Progresso finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
35%
42%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: SCD Progresso
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Very High Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SCD Progresso come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans SCD Progresso's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 19%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | SCD Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.75 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.75 | 1.13 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs SCD Progresso
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sant'Angelo
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sant'Angelo
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs SCD Progresso
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sant'Angelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Confalonieri S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
SCD Progresso Compare
Top Goalscorer Mascanzoni M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sant'Angelo 20 / 100
SCD Progresso 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sant'Angelo SCD Progresso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick SCD Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sant'Angelo scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.
SCD Progresso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Sant'Angelo remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sant'Angelo VS SCD Progresso
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Sant'Angelo
(Home) 03 May
Lentigione
2 : 2 Sant'Angelo
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 1 Sant'Angelo
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Piacenza
02 Apr
Correggese
2 : 1 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Piacenza
29 Mar
Sant'Angelo
1 : 3 Pistoiese
15 Mar
Sant'Angelo
2 : 0 Imolese
22 Feb
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 3
SCD Progresso
(Away) 03 May
SCD Progresso
4 : 1 Sasso Marconi
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
12 Apr
SCD Progresso
1 : 1 Correggese
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
19 Apr
Lentigione
1 : 2 SCD Progresso
02 Apr
Tuttocuoio
0 : 2 SCD Progresso
22 Mar
Piacenza
3 : 0 SCD Progresso
28 Feb
Pistoiese
1 : 0 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D (Play Out)
