Sport Picks
Sant'Angelo vs SCD Progresso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 
Match Events
30'
30'
Confalonieri S.
80'
80'
Mascanzoni M.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 game between Sant'Angelo and SCD Progresso finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sant'Angelo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and SCD Progresso come out ahead of Sant'Angelo on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Sant'Angelo's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Sant'Angelo Clean Sheet 20%
SCD Progresso Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Sant'Angelo | SCD Progresso |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 9 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 14 |
| Goals Scored | 1.28 | 1.07 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.69 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs SCD Progresso
1:1
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sant'Angelo
1:0
Mar 17, 2024 Serie D - Group D
SCD Progresso vs Sant'Angelo
2:2
Nov 5, 2023 Serie D - Group D
Sant'Angelo vs SCD Progresso
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Sant'Angelo Compare
Top Goalscorer Confalonieri S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84
SCD Progresso Compare
Top Goalscorer Mascanzoni M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Sant'Angelo 85 / 100
SCD Progresso 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Sant'Angelo SCD Progresso
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Sant'Angelo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Sant'Angelo scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.
SCD Progresso's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
Solid form: Sant'Angelo remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Sant'Angelo VS SCD Progresso
1.38 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Sant'Angelo
(Home) 07 Oct
Pavia
1 : 3 Sant'Angelo
04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2 Castellanzese
27 Sept
Pistoiese
3 : 0 Sant'Angelo
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
16 Sept
USD Casatese
1 : 2 Sant'Angelo
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Sant'Angelo
1 : 2 Castellanzese
20 Sept
Sant'Angelo
0 : 0 Pavia
13 Sept
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Varesina
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
12 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 Piacenza
Page 1 of 3
SCD Progresso
(Away) 04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0 SCD Progresso
20 Sept
SCD Progresso
0 : 3 Seravezza Pozzi
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 6
04 Oct
Rondinella
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
27 Sept
Montevarchi
2 : 0 SCD Progresso
16 Sept
Lucchese
5 : 0 SCD Progresso
06 Sept
Tau
2 : 1 SCD Progresso
26 Apr
Sant'Angelo
1 : 1 SCD Progresso
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Desenzano Calvina | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 60:21 | 77 |
| 2 | Lentigione | 34 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 51:23 | 73 |
| 3 | Pistoiese | 34 | 20 | 11 | 3 | 61:22 | 71 |
| 4 | Piacenza | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 60:35 | 64 |
| 5 | Pro Palazzolo | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 44:31 | 57 |
| 6 | Pro Sesto | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 45:30 | 55 |
| 7 | Cittadella Vis Modena | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 35:29 | 55 |
| 8 | Rovato Vertovese | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 35:29 | 52 |
| 9 | Sangiuliano City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:45 | 47 |
| 10 | SCD Progresso | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:42 | 39 |
| 11 | Sant'Angelo | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38:51 | 39 |
| 12 | Correggese | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 35:36 | 39 |
| 13 | Crema | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 35:47 | 38 |
| 14 | Imolese | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 28:47 | 34 |
| 15 | Sasso Marconi | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 33:49 | 31 |
| 16 | Tropical Coriano | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:45 | 31 |
| 17 | Trevigliese | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31:62 | 23 |
| 18 | Tuttocuoio | 34 | 0 | 8 | 26 | 18:73 | 8 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group D 2025/2026 (Play Out)
