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Santanyi vs Binissalem

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Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

65' Event
Cifre Navas J.
Own Goal

AI Match Summary

Binissalem in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Binissalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santanyi
35%
Draws
35%
Binissalem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Santanyi at 1.2 per game, Binissalem at 0.73.
  • Win probability leans Santanyi's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 68%
Binissalem Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi Binissalem
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.2 0.73
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Binissalem
0:1
Sep 7, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Santanyi
1:0
Apr 11, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Binissalem
2:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Binissalem vs Santanyi
1:1
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Binissalem
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 46 / 100
Binissalem 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi Binissalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi's goal record stands at 70% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 1.60 goals per match.

Santanyi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Binissalem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 57% of 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS Binissalem
1.25 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
01 Aug
Baleares
4 : 1
Santanyi
10 May
Felanitx
2 : 1
Santanyi
03 May
Santanyi
2 : 1
Pena Deportiva
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
Santanyi
2 : 2
Rotlet Molinar
Page 1 of 6

Binissalem

(Away)
10 May
Binissalem
2 : 0
CD Son Cladera
03 May
Alcudia
1 : 1
Binissalem
25 Apr
Binissalem
0 : 2
Mallorca B
19 Apr
Platges de Calvia
0 : 0
Binissalem
12 Apr
Binissalem
1 : 1
Formentera
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)