Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santanyi vs Llosetense

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gonzalez C.
45' Event
Riveron S.
78' Event
Mestre J. S.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Santanyi and Llosetense finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Santanyi
35%
Draws
35%
Llosetense
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Llosetense carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 16%
Llosetense Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi Llosetense
Matches Played 38 36
Wins 12 17
Draws 11 9
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 1.24 1.83
Goals Conceded 1.53 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Llosetense
3:2
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Santanyi
0:0
Mar 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Llosetense
2:0
Oct 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Santanyi
0:0
Mar 17, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Llosetense vs Santanyi
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Molina P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Llosetense Compare

Top Goalscorer Riveron S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mestre J. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 31 / 100
Llosetense 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi Llosetense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santanyi found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (38 games).

Llosetense has conceded goals in 72% of their last 36 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Santanyi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS Llosetense
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
Page 1 of 8

Llosetense

(Away)
26 Sept
Inter Ibiza
1 : 3
Llosetense
19 Sept
Llosetense
0 : 0
Formentera
12 Sept
Andratx
1 : 0
Llosetense
05 Sept
Llosetense
2 : 0
Sineu
23 May
Manacor
2 : 1
Llosetense
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)