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Santanyi vs Pena Deportiva

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Nebot J.
18' Event
Montori A.
67' Event
Igbinovia P.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Santanyi and Pena Deportiva finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santanyi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Santanyi
35%
Draws
9%
Pena Deportiva
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Santanyi

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Pena Deportiva carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Santanyi's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 14%
Pena Deportiva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi Pena Deportiva
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.21 1.67
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Pena Deportiva
2:1
Jan 4, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Santanyi
1:1
Mar 16, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs Pena Deportiva
0:1
Oct 28, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Santanyi
5:1
Jan 19, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Pena Deportiva vs Santanyi
4:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santanyi Compare

Top Goalscorer Nebot J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Igbinovia P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Pena Deportiva Compare

Top Goalscorer Montori A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 84 / 100
Pena Deportiva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi Pena Deportiva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santanyi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Santanyi scored in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Pena Deportiva's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Solid form: Santanyi remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS Pena Deportiva
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
06 Sept
Cardassar
0 : 0
Santanyi
30 Aug
Andratx
2 : 1
Santanyi
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Pena Deportiva

(Away)
27 Sept
Pena Deportiva
0 : 2
Real Murcia B
20 Sept
Ilicitano
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
13 Sept
Pena Deportiva
1 : 1
Yeclano
06 Sept
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
Pena Deportiva
14 Aug
UD Ibiza
5 : 0
Pena Deportiva
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)