Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santanyi vs SD Ibiza - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Santanyi host SD Ibiza in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Santanyi at 1.26 goals for, 1.34 against; SD Ibiza at 1.39 for, 1.21 against. Past meetings favor SD Ibiza slightly — 0-3-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 24, 2024, ending 1:1. The numbers (0.75 xG vs 1.69) point toward SD Ibiza. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

32%
Santanyi
30%
Draws
38%
SD Ibiza
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: SD Ibiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Santanyi carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 38% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Santanyi Clean Sheet 13%
SD Ibiza Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santanyi SD Ibiza
Matches Played 35 28
Wins 12 11
Draws 11 8
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.26 1.39
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 24, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs SD Ibiza
1:1
Oct 8, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Santanyi
2:0
Feb 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Santanyi vs SD Ibiza
2:2
Sep 21, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Santanyi
3:0
Jan 6, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
SD Ibiza vs Santanyi
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santanyi 35 / 100
SD Ibiza 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santanyi SD Ibiza

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SD Ibiza Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Santanyi stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Santanyi scored in 77% of their last 35 games.

Defensive concern: SD Ibiza conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Santanyi VS SD Ibiza
1 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Santanyi

(Home)
11 Oct
Santanyi
3 : 0
Llosetense
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Mercadal
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
Page 1 of 7

SD Ibiza

(Away)
10 Oct
Inter Ibiza
0 : 3
SD Ibiza
04 Oct
SD Ibiza
2 : 0
Formentera
26 Sept
Andratx
0 : 0
SD Ibiza
20 Sept
SD Ibiza
1 : 0
Sineu
12 Sept
Migjorn
1 : 3
SD Ibiza
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Constancia 7 5 1 1 13:3 16
2 Manacor 7 5 1 1 17:8 16
3 SD Ibiza 6 5 1 0 11:2 16
4 Platges de Calvia 7 5 0 2 12:5 15
5 Cardassar 7 4 1 2 14:8 13
6 Santanyi 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
7 Formentera 6 3 2 1 9:5 11
8 PE Sant Jordi 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
9 Llosetense 7 3 1 3 8:9 10
10 Alcudia 6 3 0 3 11:11 9
11 Porreres 6 3 0 3 7:7 9
12 Mercadal 7 2 2 3 8:9 8
13 Binissalem 6 2 0 4 8:11 6
14 Andratx 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
15 Arenal 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
16 Migjorn 7 1 1 5 6:15 4
17 Sineu 7 0 1 6 3:16 1
18 Inter Ibiza 6 0 1 5 2:15 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)