Sport Picks

Portugal

Liga 3 2025/2026 Campo Cha das Padeiras

Santarem

0 - 2

CF Os Belenenses

Our Tip

Match Events

Horta Leitao D.

Assist: Bandarra M.

16'

Afonso A.

28'

Souza E.

Penalty Missed

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga 3 2025/2026 game between Santarem and CF Os Belenenses finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CF Os Belenenses.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

Santarem

44%

Draws

20%

CF Os Belenenses

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Santarem haven't matched CF Os Belenenses's recent run of results.
44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
Regular Liga 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%

Santarem Clean Sheet 16%

CF Os Belenenses Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Santarem	CF Os Belenenses
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	7	15
Draws	10	7
Losses	13	7
Goals Scored	0.75	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.25	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.25	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 2, 2026 Liga 3

CF Os Belenenses vs Santarem

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

1:1

Mar 8, 2026 Liga 3

Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses

Possession: 43% - 57% Cards: 3 - 2

0:2

Jan 24, 2026 Liga 3

Santarem vs CF Os Belenenses

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Nov 2, 2025 Liga 3

CF Os Belenenses vs Santarem

Possession: 46% - 52% Cards: 1 - 1

0:2

Jan 12, 2025 Liga 3

CF Os Belenenses vs Santarem

Possession: 54% - 48% Cards: 3 - 1

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santarem Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

CF Os Belenenses Compare

Top Goalscorer Horta Leitao D.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Souza E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarem 36 / 100

CF Os Belenenses 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Santarem CF Os Belenenses

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick OS Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santarem scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: CF Os Belenenses conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Santarem has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santarem VS CF Os Belenenses

0.75 Goals Scored 1.75

1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13

63% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 63%

13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Amarante FC	14	9	4	1	22:11	31
2	Academica	14	8	4	2	23:13	28
3	CF Os Belenenses	14	7	5	2	25:16	26
4	Mafra	14	5	2	7	17:24	17
5	Vitoria Guimaraes B	14	4	5	5	16:17	17
6	Varzim	14	4	2	8	13:19	14
7	Santarem	14	2	4	8	13:20	10
8	Trofense	14	2	4	8	7:16	10