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Santarem vs Cova De Piedade - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Liga 3 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Kalunga K.
90' Event
Santana C.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 3 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Santarem
30%
Draws
37%
Cova De Piedade
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cova De Piedade

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cova De Piedade lately — more wins on the board than Santarem.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 4 times recently and Cova De Piedade have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Santarem Clean Sheet 20%
Cova De Piedade Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarem Cova De Piedade
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 11 7
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 0.94 1.2
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2022 Liga 3
Santarem vs Cova De Piedade
1:1
Apr 3, 2022 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Santarem
2:0
Jan 29, 2022 Liga 3
Cova De Piedade vs Santarem
2:1
Oct 23, 2021 Liga 3
Santarem vs Cova De Piedade
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santarem Compare

Top Goalscorer Santana C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

Cova De Piedade Compare

Top Goalscorer Kalunga K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarem 32 / 100
Cova De Piedade 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarem Cova De Piedade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cova De Piedade let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Santarem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Santarem scored in 59% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Santarem VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 7

Cova De Piedade

(Away)
01 May
Cova De Piedade
0 : 1
Amora
23 Apr
Santarem
1 : 1
Cova De Piedade
17 Apr
Cova De Piedade
1 : 1
Caldas SC
09 Apr
Amora
1 : 2
Cova De Piedade
03 Apr
Cova De Piedade
2 : 0
Santarem
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 AD Fafe 6 3 2 1 8:5 13
2 Anadia 6 2 3 1 7:4 13
3 Canelas 2010 6 1 2 3 3:7 13
4 Lusitania FC 6 1 3 2 2:4 12
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sanjoanense 6 3 2 1 11:5 18
2 Sao Joao de Ver 6 3 1 2 8:7 15
3 CDC Montalegre 6 1 3 2 11:14 9
4 Pevidem 6 1 2 3 7:11 6
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amora 6 2 1 3 7:7 15
2 Cova De Piedade 6 2 3 1 7:5 13
3 Caldas SC 6 1 3 2 8:10 12
4 Santarem 6 2 3 1 9:9 11
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Oliveira Hospital 6 4 2 0 7:3 17
2 Real SC 6 2 3 1 4:3 16
3 Sporting CP B 6 1 2 3 6:8 10
4 Oriental Dragon 6 0 3 3 4:7 4
Relegation - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Main)