Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santarem vs GS Loures

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 game between Santarem and GS Loures finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santarem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santarem
20%
Draws
40%
GS Loures
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and GS Loures come out ahead of Santarem on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Santarem's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Santarem Clean Sheet 18%
GS Loures Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarem GS Loures
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 9
Draws 12 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.06 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Santarem vs GS Loures
3:0
Nov 6, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs Santarem
1:1
Sep 11, 2021 Taça de Portugal
Santarem vs GS Loures
0:1
Mar 7, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
GS Loures vs Santarem
1:0
Dec 6, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group F
Santarem vs GS Loures
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarem 36 / 100
GS Loures 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarem GS Loures

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santarem scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

GS Loures's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Santarem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santarem VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 7

GS Loures

(Away)
16 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GS Loures
08 Apr
GS Loures
1 : 3
Sertanense
02 Apr
Alcains
2 : 5
GS Loures
19 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 2
GS Loures
12 Mar
GS Loures
2 : 2
Pero Pinheiro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)