Sport Picks
Santarem vs Lusitano GC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Portugal
Liga 3 Campo Cha das Padeiras, Santarem 
AI Match Summary
Santarem host Lusitano GC in the Liga 3. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Santarem at 0.97 goals for, 1.17 against; Lusitano GC at 0.93 for, 1 against. Head-to-head, Santarem have won 1 to Lusitano GC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Nov 9, 2025, ending 1:0. The numbers (0.81 xG vs 1.06) point toward Lusitano GC. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Lusitano GC have won more games recently than Santarem.
- 41% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Liga 3 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Santarem | Lusitano GC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 10 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 12 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 0.97 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.17 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Lusitano GC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.
Santarem has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Attacking prowess: Santarem scored in 59% of their last 29 outings.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Santarem
(Home)Lusitano GC
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paredes | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:4 | 12 |
| 2 | AD Marco 09 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Varzim | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 9 |
| 4 | AD Fafe | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 8 |
| 5 | SC Vianense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6:5 | 8 |
| 6 | Leca | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Trofense | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:7 | 4 |
| 9 | Sao Joao de Ver | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 10 | Pacos Ferreira | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:10 | 2 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CF Os Belenenses | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Atletico CP | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:3 | 10 |
| 3 | Oliveirense | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 8 |
| 4 | Mafra | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 7 |
| 5 | Louletano | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 6 | Caldas SC | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:5 | 7 |
| 7 | Lusitano GC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Covilha | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Santarem | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:10 | 4 |
| 10 | Vitoria Sernache | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:13 | 1 |
