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Santarem vs Vitoria Setubal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

90'
Eli
90'
Caleb

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Santarem
20%
Draws
40%
Vitoria Setubal
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Vitoria Setubal have won more games recently than Santarem.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Santarem Clean Sheet 20%
Vitoria Setubal Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarem Vitoria Setubal
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 8 15
Draws 11 5
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.23
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group
Santarem vs Vitoria Setubal
0:0
Apr 21, 2024 Campeonato de Portugal - Promotion Group
Vitoria Setubal vs Santarem
2:1
Jan 24, 2022 Liga 3
Santarem vs Vitoria Setubal
4:1
Jan 20, 2022 Liga 3
Vitoria Setubal vs Santarem
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarem 31 / 100
Vitoria Setubal 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarem Vitoria Setubal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santarem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santarem's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Santarem stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Vitoria Setubal conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santarem VS Vitoria Setubal
0.75 Goals Scored 1.33
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 67%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarem

(Home)
20 Sept
Santarem
5 : 0
Merelinense
12 Sept
Louletano
1 : 2
Santarem
04 Sept
Santarem
0 : 1
Caldas SC
22 Aug
CF Os Belenenses
5 : 0
Santarem
14 Aug
Santarem
1 : 1
Oliveirense
Page 1 of 7

Vitoria Setubal

(Away)
20 Sept
Alcains
0 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
13 Sept
Vitoria Setubal
2 : 2
Juv. Evora
06 Sept
Lajense
0 : 1
Vitoria Setubal
23 Aug
Vitoria Setubal
1 : 3
Amora
16 Aug
Serpa
4 : 2
Vitoria Setubal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Sao Joao de Ver 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 AD Limianos 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Pevidem 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Sao Joao de Ver 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 AD Limianos 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Pevidem 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Sao Joao de Ver 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 AD Limianos 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Pevidem 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Sao Joao de Ver 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 AD Limianos 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Pevidem 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Amarante FC 6 4 1 1 9:4 13
2 Sao Joao de Ver 6 3 1 2 10:9 10
3 AD Limianos 6 3 1 2 9:9 10
4 Pevidem 6 0 1 5 4:10 1
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 SC Lusitania 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Santarem 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Moncarapachense 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 SC Lusitania 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Santarem 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Moncarapachense 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 SC Lusitania 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Santarem 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Moncarapachense 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 SC Lusitania 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Santarem 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Moncarapachense 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)

League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 SC Lusitania 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
3 Santarem 6 1 2 3 5:8 5
4 Moncarapachense 6 1 0 5 3:8 3
Promotion - Liga 3 2024/2025 (Main)