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Santarritense U20 vs Ipatinga U20

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Mineiro U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

39' Event
Matheus M.

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro U20 2024 game between Santarritense U20 and Ipatinga U20 finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santarritense U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Santarritense U20
15%
Draws
49%
Ipatinga U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ipatinga U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Santarritense U20 come out ahead of Ipatinga U20 on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Mineiro U20 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60.6%
Santarritense U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Ipatinga U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santarritense U20 Ipatinga U20
Matches Played 14 14
Wins 2 1
Draws 0 2
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.5 0.36
Goals Conceded 3.93 3.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2024 Mineiro U20
Santarritense U20 vs Ipatinga U20
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santarritense U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Matheus M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Ipatinga U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santarritense U20 30 / 100
Ipatinga U20 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santarritense U20 Ipatinga U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ipatinga U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipatinga U20 has conceded goals in 86% of their last 14 outings.

Ipatinga U20's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Santarritense U20's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 14 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Santarritense U20 VS Ipatinga U20
0.63 Goals Scored 0.25
3.63 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santarritense U20

(Home)
09 Aug
Piracicaba U20
0 : 1
Santarritense U20
02 Aug
Santarritense U20
0 : 10
Athletic Club U20
27 Jul
Betim FC U20
4 : 0
Santarritense U20
21 Jul
Santarritense U20
0 : 5
Atletico-MG U20
13 Jul
Boston City U20
4 : 0
Santarritense U20
Page 1 of 3

Ipatinga U20

(Away)
17 Aug
Ipatinga U20
2 : 2
Athletic Club U20
11 Aug
America MG U20
9 : 0
Ipatinga U20
02 Aug
Piracicaba U20
0 : 1
Ipatinga U20
21 Jul
Ipatinga U20
0 : 6
Inter de Minas U20
13 Jul
Contagem U20
4 : 1
Ipatinga U20
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro (Esporte Clube) U20 14 12 2 0 69:13 38
2 Inter de Minas U20 14 10 3 1 38:17 33
3 Atletico-MG U20 14 10 1 3 51:12 31
4 America MG U20 14 8 5 1 35:8 29
5 Athletic Club U20 14 8 4 2 26:13 28
6 Betim FC U20 14 7 4 3 20:19 25
7 Contagem U20 14 6 4 4 23:19 22
8 Boston City U20 14 4 6 4 27:20 18
9 Futgol U20 14 5 1 8 19:26 16
10 Coimbra Sports U20 14 4 2 8 20:24 14
11 Tres Coracoes U20 14 4 2 8 19:26 14
12 Piracicaba U20 14 2 2 10 10:28 8
13 Minas Boca U20 14 2 2 10 15:50 8
14 Santarritense U20 14 2 0 12 7:55 6
15 Ipatinga U20 14 1 2 11 5:54 5
Promotion - Mineiro U20 2024 (Play Offs)