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Santegidiese vs Giulianova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group F
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Martiniello A.
24' Event
D'Arcangelo T.
37' Event
Arras D.

AI Match Summary

Giulianova in this Serie D - Group F matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Giulianova.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Santegidiese
30%
Draws
41%
Giulianova
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Giulianova

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Giulianova lately — more wins on the board than Santegidiese.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Serie D - Group F form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Santegidiese Clean Sheet 20%
Giulianova Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santegidiese Giulianova
Matches Played 7 29
Wins 2 11
Draws 2 12
Losses 3 6
Goals Scored 0.86 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.68 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Serie D - Group F
Santegidiese vs Giulianova
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santegidiese Compare

Avg xG / game 0.52
Avg xA / game 0.34

Giulianova Compare

Top Goalscorer Martiniello A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader D'Arcangelo T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santegidiese 32 / 100
Giulianova 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santegidiese Giulianova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Giulianova Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Santegidiese scored in 71% of their last 7 outings.

Defensive concern: Giulianova conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Solid form: Santegidiese remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Santegidiese VS Giulianova
0.86 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
57% Over 1.5 38%
29% Over 2.5 25%
14% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Santegidiese

(Home)
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Maceratese
1 : 1
Santegidiese
20 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 0
Angelana
16 Sept
Notaresco Calcio
1 : 0
Santegidiese
12 Sept
Santegidiese
1 : 1
Recanatese
Page 1 of 2

Giulianova

(Away)
04 Oct
Santegidiese
1 : 3
Giulianova
27 Sept
Giulianova
4 : 2
Atletico Ascoli
20 Sept
Teramo
3 : 2
Giulianova
16 Sept
Giulianova
0 : 0
Termoli
13 Sept
Vigor Senigallia
1 : 0
Giulianova
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aquila Calcio 6 4 2 0 12:2 14
2 Teramo 6 4 1 1 17:11 13
3 Vigor Senigallia 6 4 1 1 14:10 13
4 Foligno 6 4 1 1 7:6 13
5 Ancona 6 3 2 1 8:5 11
6 Fossombrone 6 3 1 2 6:9 10
7 Notaresco Calcio 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
8 Montecchio Gallo 6 2 2 2 5:5 8
9 Santegidiese 6 2 2 2 6:7 8
10 Giulianova 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
11 Lanciano FC 6 2 1 3 10:9 7
12 Termoli 6 2 1 3 4:5 7
13 Maceratese 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Atletico Ascoli 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
15 Recanatese 6 1 3 2 8:9 6
16 Angelana 6 1 1 4 4:8 4
17 Sporting Trestina 6 1 1 4 4:9 4
18 Pietralunga 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
Promotion - Serie D - Group F (Play Offs)