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Santo Andre vs Agua Santa

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Netinho
48' Event
Mauro
90' Event
Rafael Tanque

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Santo Andre and Agua Santa finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Santo Andre.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Santo Andre
20%
Draws
33%
Agua Santa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Agua Santa carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Paulista A2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 48%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 22%
Agua Santa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Andre Agua Santa
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 9 15
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 0.8 1.3
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.06
Expected Goals (xG) 1.08 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 1, 2026 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Agua Santa
2:1
Jun 29, 2024 Serie D
Agua Santa vs Santo Andre
2:0
May 18, 2024 Serie D
Santo Andre vs Agua Santa
1:1
Jan 28, 2024 Paulista
Santo Andre vs Agua Santa
0:0
Feb 9, 2023 Paulista
Santo Andre vs Agua Santa
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santo Andre Compare

Top Goalscorer Mauro
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rafael Tanque
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.83
Avg xA / game 0.54

Agua Santa Compare

Top Goalscorer Netinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1
Avg xA / game 0.61

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Andre 32 / 100
Agua Santa 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Andre Agua Santa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Agua Santa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Santo Andre scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Santo Andre stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Agua Santa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 58% of 33 matches.

Scoring Trends

Santo Andre VS Agua Santa
0.67 Goals Scored 1.38
0.83 Goals Conceded 1.5
33% Over 1.5 63%
17% Over 2.5 50%
17% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Santo Andre

(Home)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
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Agua Santa

(Away)
27 Jun
Agua Santa
1 : 2
Velo Clube
20 Jun
Velo Clube
0 : 0
Agua Santa
06 Jun
America RJ
1 : 0
Agua Santa
30 May
Agua Santa
4 : 1
Madureira
23 May
Agua Santa
2 : 0
Pouso Alegre
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)