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Santo Andre vs Ferroviaria - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Cantarelli M.

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Santo Andre and Ferroviaria finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ferroviaria.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Santo Andre
30%
Draws
31%
Ferroviaria
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ferroviaria come out ahead of Santo Andre on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviaria Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Andre Ferroviaria
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 8 10
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 0.8 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.33 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.71 1.04
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 28, 2026 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Ferroviaria
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Paulista A2
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre
2:2
Jan 22, 2023 Paulista
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre
1:2
Feb 12, 2022 Paulista
Santo Andre vs Ferroviaria
2:2
Apr 30, 2021 Paulista
Ferroviaria vs Santo Andre
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santo Andre Compare

Avg xG / game 0.55
Avg xA / game 0.35

Ferroviaria Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantarelli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Andre 32 / 100
Ferroviaria 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Andre Ferroviaria

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

Santo Andre found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Santo Andre went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Ferroviaria conceded in 50% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Santo Andre VS Ferroviaria
0.67 Goals Scored 1.25
0.83 Goals Conceded 0.75
33% Over 1.5 38%
17% Over 2.5 38%
17% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Santo Andre

(Home)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 6

Ferroviaria

(Away)
03 Oct
Paysandu PA
1 : 0
Ferroviaria
27 Sept
Brusque
1 : 1
Ferroviaria
20 Sept
Ferroviaria
3 : 2
Brusque
13 Sept
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Paysandu PA
05 Sept
Internacional de Limeira
3 : 3
Ferroviaria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)