Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Santo Andre vs Monte Azul

Brazil Brazil

Paulista A2
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Moraes W.
27' Event
Moraes W.
68' Event
Moraes W.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Paulista A2 game between Santo Andre and Monte Azul finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Monte Azul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

73%
Santo Andre
20%
Draws
7%
Monte Azul
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santo Andre

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Monte Azul haven't matched Santo Andre's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Santo Andre a 73% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Santo Andre Clean Sheet 68%
Monte Azul Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Santo Andre Monte Azul
Matches Played 31 33
Wins 10 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0.87 1.09
Goals Conceded 1.32 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 14, 2026 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Monte Azul
0:4
Feb 6, 2016 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Monte Azul
2:1
Mar 11, 2015 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Santo Andre
2:2
Mar 1, 2014 Paulista A2
Monte Azul vs Santo Andre
2:2
Feb 13, 2013 Paulista A2
Santo Andre vs Monte Azul
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Santo Andre Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Monte Azul Compare

Top Goalscorer Moraes W.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Aruba
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Santo Andre 77 / 100
Monte Azul 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Santo Andre Monte Azul

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santo Andre Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santo Andre's goal record stands at 61% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Monte Azul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Santo Andre has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Santo Andre VS Monte Azul
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 71%
63% Over 2.5 43%
25% Over 3.5 43%

Recent Form & Match History

Santo Andre

(Home)
22 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
EC Sao Bernardo
17 Aug
Sao Caetano
0 : 1
Santo Andre
08 Aug
Sao Jose EC
2 : 0
Santo Andre
02 Aug
Santo Andre
1 : 0
Sao Jose EC
26 Jul
Santo Andre
0 : 0
Sao Caetano
Page 1 of 7

Monte Azul

(Away)
07 Mar
Ituano
3 : 3
Monte Azul
04 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 2
Sertaozinho
01 Mar
Monte Azul
0 : 1
Agua Santa
25 Feb
Monte Azul
1 : 3
Juventus-SP
22 Feb
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Monte Azul
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Agua Santa 15 10 1 4 24:14 31
2 Ferroviaria 15 8 4 3 22:12 28
3 Ituano 15 8 4 3 22:14 28
4 Sao Jose EC 15 8 3 4 21:13 27
5 Sertaozinho 15 7 4 4 19:19 25
6 Votuporanguense 15 7 3 5 16:17 24
7 Juventus-SP 15 6 5 4 22:20 23
8 Piracicaba 15 6 4 5 16:15 22
9 Osasco Sporting 15 5 7 3 22:18 22
10 Santo Andre 15 5 3 7 16:22 18
11 Taubate 15 3 8 4 22:23 17
12 Internacional de Limeira 15 4 4 7 15:18 16
13 Linense 15 2 7 6 12:18 13
14 Monte Azul 15 2 6 7 17:22 12
15 Gremio Prudente 15 1 9 5 12:16 12
16 Sao Bento 15 1 2 12 8:25 5
Promotion - Paulista A2 (Second stage)
Relegation - Paulista A3 (Main)